Premier League · 2024Sat, 19 Apr 2025, 14:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Brentford

LWLDD

4–2Full-time recap

Brighton & Hove Albion

WDLLD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Brentford	Brighton & Hove Albion
Shots	16 shots/match▲	12 shots/match
Shots on target	8 shots/match▲	3 shots/match
Expected goals	2.17 xG/match▲	1.43 xG/match
Possession	46%	54%●
Corners	4 corners/match	7 corners/match●
Fouls	7 fouls/match	11 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Brentford: 16 shots, 8 on target, 2.20 xG. Brighton & Hove Albion: 12 shots, 3 on target, 1.40 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Brentford 2.20 xG · Brighton & Hove Albion 1.40 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Brighton & Hove Albion's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Brighton & Hove Albion show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Brighton & Hove Albion's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11.4 shots/match▲ShotsBrentford · Brighton & Hove Albion13.8 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Brentford	Brighton & Hove Albion	Baseline
Shots	11.4 shots/match	13.8 shots/match	13.2 shots/match
Shots against	17.3 shots/match	11.2 shots/match	12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Brentford

3Draws

1Brighton & Hove Albion

27 Dec 2024Brighton & Hove Albion — Brentford · Premier League0–0

3 Apr 2024Brentford — Brighton & Hove Albion · Premier League0–0

6 Dec 2023Brighton & Hove Albion — Brentford · Premier League2–1

1 Apr 2023Brighton & Hove Albion — Brentford · Premier League3–3

14 Oct 2022Brentford — Brighton & Hove Albion · Premier League2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Brentford favored in 2 of 13 directional metrics · Brighton & Hove Albion in 7 · 4 too close

1.7 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 33/331.61 goals/match

1.52 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 33/331.61 goals/match

1.53 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 33/331.56 xG/match

1.51 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 33/33▲1.41 xG/match

11.4 shots/matchShotsseason · 33/33▲13.8 shots/match

17.3 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 33/33▲11.2 shots/match

4.73 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 33/334.79 shots/match

5.45 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 33/33▲3.94 shots/match

47.6%Possessionseason · 33/33●52.7%

4.45 corners/matchCornersseason · 33/33●4.88 corners/match

6.64 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 33/33▲5 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

8.09 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 33/3311.7 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

18%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 33/33▲21%

76%Scoring frequencyseason · 33/33▲85%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Brentford32.5

Brighton & Hove Albion67.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Brentford52.5

Brighton & Hove Albion66.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Brentford20.8

Brighton & Hove Albion62.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Brentford22.5

Brighton & Hove Albion57.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Brentford7.5

Brighton & Hove Albion82.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Brentford37.5

Brighton & Hove Albion47.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Brentford33.8

Brighton & Hove Albion67.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Brentford33 matchesBrighton & Hove Albion33 matches

1.7 goals/match▲Goals scored33/331.61 goals/match

1.52 goals/match▲Goals allowed33/331.61 goals/match

1.53 xG/matchExpected goals33/331.56 xG/match

11.4 shots/matchShots33/33▲13.8 shots/match

4.73 shots/matchShots on target33/334.79 shots/match

47.6%Possession33/33●52.7%

4.45 corners/matchCorners33/33●4.88 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

8.09 fouls/matchFouls33/3311.7 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Brentford17 matchesBrighton & Hove Albion17 matches

2 goals/match▲Goals scored17/171.76 goals/match

1.71 goals/match▲Goals allowed17/171.88 goals/match

1.79 xG/match▲Expected goals17/171.45 xG/match

13 shots/matchShots17/1712.5 shots/match

5.41 shots/match▲Shots on target17/174.94 shots/match

50.4%Possession17/17●52.3%

4.94 corners/match●Corners17/174.82 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

7.24 fouls/matchFouls17/1711.6 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.9 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples33 / 33home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 19 Apr 2025, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4