Premier League · 2024Sat, 26 Apr 2025, 14:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap
32Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricBrighton & Hove AlbionWest Ham United
Shots16 shots/match12 shots/match
Shots on target9 shots/match4 shots/match
Expected goals1.35 xG/match1.25 xG/match
Possession53%47%
Corners8 corners/match1 corners/match
Fouls7 fouls/match9 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Carlos Baleba · Brighton & Hove Albion · 90′ · 0.01 xG · goalPervis Estupiñán · Brighton & Hove Albion · 4′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLucas Paquetá · West Ham United · 17′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSolly March · Brighton & Hove Albion · 53′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJarrod Bowen · West Ham United · 8′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedPervis Estupiñán · Brighton & Hove Albion · 36′ · 0.03 xG · on targetSimon Adingra · Brighton & Hove Albion · 53′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAaron Wan-Bissaka · West Ham United · 60′ · 0.03 xG · on targetMohammed Kudus · West Ham United · 60′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJack Hinshelwood · Brighton & Hove Albion · 73′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedYasin Ayari · Brighton & Hove Albion · 13′ · 0.04 xG · goalTomáš Souček · West Ham United · 32′ · 0.04 xG · on targetJames Ward-Prowse · West Ham United · 45′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJarrod Bowen · West Ham United · 16′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMats Wieffer · Brighton & Hove Albion · 18′ · 0.05 xG · on targetMatt O'Riley · Brighton & Hove Albion · 30′ · 0.05 xG · on targetKonstantinos Mavropanos · West Ham United · 57′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedPervis Estupiñán · Brighton & Hove Albion · 65′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedLewis Dunk · Brighton & Hove Albion · 54′ · 0.06 xG · on targetLewis Dunk · Brighton & Hove Albion · 50′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedTomáš Souček · West Ham United · 10′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedDanny Welbeck · Brighton & Hove Albion · 33′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedPervis Estupiñán · Brighton & Hove Albion · 72′ · 0.09 xG · on targetAaron Wan-Bissaka · West Ham United · 62′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedMats Wieffer · Brighton & Hove Albion · 50′ · 0.16 xG · on targetMohammed Kudus · West Ham United · 48′ · 0.27 xG · goalTomáš Souček · West Ham United · 83′ · 0.54 xG · goalKaoru Mitoma · Brighton & Hove Albion · 89′ · 0.54 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Brighton & Hove Albion: 16 shots, 9 on target, 1.33 xG. West Ham United: 12 shots, 4 on target, 1.30 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Yasin Ayari · Brighton & Hove Albion · 13′Kaoru Mitoma · Brighton & Hove Albion · 89′Carlos Baleba · Brighton & Hove Albion · 90′Mohammed Kudus · West Ham United · 48′Tomáš Souček · West Ham United · 83′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Brighton & Hove Albion 1.33 xG · West Ham United 1.30 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Brighton & Hove Albion's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Brighton & Hove Albion show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Brighton & Hove Albion's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.9 shots/matchShotsBrighton & Hove Albion · West Ham United12.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBrighton & Hove AlbionWest Ham UnitedBaseline
Shots13.9 shots/match12.6 shots/match13.3 shots/match
Shots against11.2 shots/match15.6 shots/match12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

2Brighton & Hove Albion
2Draws
1West Ham United
West Ham UnitedBrighton & Hove Albion · Premier League11
West Ham UnitedBrighton & Hove Albion · Premier League00
Brighton & Hove AlbionWest Ham United · Premier League13
Brighton & Hove AlbionWest Ham United · Premier League40
West Ham UnitedBrighton & Hove Albion · Premier League02

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Brighton & Hove Albion favored in 11 of 13 directional metrics · West Ham United in 0 · 2 too close

1.65 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 34/341.15 goals/match
1.62 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 34/341.71 goals/match
1.55 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 34/341.28 xG/match
1.41 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 34/341.58 xG/match
13.9 shots/matchShotsseason · 34/3412.6 shots/match
11.2 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 34/3415.6 shots/match
4.91 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 34/343.79 shots/match
3.94 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 34/345 shots/match
52.7%Possessionseason · 34/3447.7%
4.97 corners/matchCornersseason · 34/344.06 corners/match
4.88 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 34/345.47 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
11.6 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 34/3411.4 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
21%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 34/3418%
85%Scoring frequencyseason · 34/3476%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Brighton & Hove Albion67.5
West Ham United37.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Brighton & Hove Albion67.5
West Ham United27.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Brighton & Hove Albion59.2
West Ham United22.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Brighton & Hove Albion67.5
West Ham United57.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Brighton & Hove Albion77.5
West Ham United57.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Brighton & Hove Albion47.5
West Ham United27.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Brighton & Hove Albion66.2
West Ham United36.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Brighton & Hove Albion34 matchesWest Ham United34 matches
1.65 goals/matchGoals scored34/341.15 goals/match
1.62 goals/matchGoals allowed34/341.71 goals/match
1.55 xG/matchExpected goals34/341.28 xG/match
13.9 shots/matchShots34/3412.6 shots/match
4.91 shots/matchShots on target34/343.79 shots/match
52.7%Possession34/3447.7%
4.97 corners/matchCorners34/344.06 corners/match
Cards0/0
11.6 fouls/matchFouls34/3411.4 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Brighton & Hove Albion17 matchesWest Ham United17 matches
1.53 goals/matchGoals scored17/171.06 goals/match
1.35 goals/matchGoals allowed17/171.59 goals/match
1.65 xG/matchExpected goals17/171.28 xG/match
15.3 shots/matchShots17/1713.8 shots/match
4.88 shots/matchShots on target17/173.82 shots/match
53.1%Possession17/1746.1%
5.12 corners/matchCorners17/173.53 corners/match
Cards0/0
11.6 fouls/matchFouls17/1711.5 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited
Season samples34 / 34home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 26 Apr 2025, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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