PitchMath
Premier League · 2024Sat, 19 Apr 2025, 14:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap
1–1Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricWest Ham UnitedSouthampton
Shots12 shots/match15 shots/match▲
Shots on target4 shots/match4 shots/match
Expected goals0.91 xG/match▲0.64 xG/match
Possession52%●48%
Corners2 corners/match5 corners/match●
Fouls14 fouls/match13 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Paul Onuachu · Southampton · 52′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedWelington · Southampton · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedFlynn Downes · Southampton · 24′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRyan Manning · Southampton · 31′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMohammed Kudus · West Ham United · 64′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedWelington · Southampton · 87′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJames Ward-Prowse · West Ham United · 21′ · 0.03 xG · on targetEmerson Palmieri · West Ham United · 28′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRyan Manning · Southampton · 38′ · 0.03 xG · on targetCarlos Soler · West Ham United · 70′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJack Stephens · Southampton · 73′ · 0.03 xG · on targetKamaldeen Sulemana · Southampton · 14′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedPaul Onuachu · Southampton · 39′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedKamaldeen Sulemana · Southampton · 57′ · 0.04 xG · on targetKyle Walker-Peters · Southampton · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedKyle Walker-Peters · Southampton · 26′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedKamaldeen Sulemana · Southampton · 31′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedJames Ward-Prowse · West Ham United · 33′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedLesley Ugochukwu · Southampton · 90′ · 0.07 xG · goalJarrod Bowen · West Ham United · 47′ · 0.08 xG · goalLucas Paquetá · West Ham United · 60′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedJarrod Bowen · West Ham United · 66′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedEmerson Palmieri · West Ham United · 30′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedNiclas Füllkrug · West Ham United · 4′ · 0.10 xG · on targetTyler Dibling · Southampton · 82′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedLuis Guilherme · West Ham United · 77′ · 0.15 xG · on targetMohammed Kudus · West Ham United · 58′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

West Ham United: 12 shots, 4 on target, 0.92 xG. Southampton: 15 shots, 4 on target, 0.63 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Jarrod Bowen · West Ham United · 47′Lesley Ugochukwu · Southampton · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: West Ham United 0.92 xG · Southampton 0.63 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: West Ham United's last-five shots average is below their season average. A second useful context is: West Ham United's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

West Ham United's recent record differs from the season

weak

West Ham United's last-five shots average is below their season average.

10.4 shots/match▲ShotsLast 5 · Season12.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots10.4 shots/match12.6 shots/match13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

West Ham United show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

West Ham United's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

12.6 shots/match▲ShotsWest Ham United · Southampton9.48 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricWest Ham UnitedSouthamptonBaseline
Shots12.6 shots/match9.48 shots/match13.2 shots/match
Shots against15.6 shots/match17.5 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

2West Ham United
2Draws
1Southampton
Southampton — West Ham United · Premier League0–1
West Ham United — Southampton · Premier League1–0
Southampton — West Ham United · Premier League1–1
West Ham United — Southampton · Premier League2–3
Southampton — West Ham United · Premier League0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

West Ham United favored in 11 of 13 directional metrics · Southampton in 0 · 2 too close

1.12 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 33/330.73 goals/match
1.67 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 33/332.36 goals/match
1.28 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 33/330.91 xG/match
1.59 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 33/332.31 xG/match
12.6 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 33/339.48 shots/match
15.6 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 33/3317.5 shots/match
3.79 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 33/333.09 shots/match
4.88 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 33/336.94 shots/match
47.8%Possessionseason · 33/33●49.9%
4.15 corners/match●Cornersseason · 33/334.06 corners/match
5.39 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 33/335.94 corners/match
—Cardsseason · 0/0—
11.4 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 33/3312.4 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
18%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 33/336%
76%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 33/3361%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

West Ham United37.5
Southampton47.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

West Ham United27.5
Southampton5.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

West Ham United22.5
Southampton2.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

West Ham United67.5
Southampton2.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

West Ham United52.5
Southampton87.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

West Ham United27.5
Southampton17.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

West Ham United35
Southampton30
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

West Ham United33 matchesSouthampton33 matches
1.12 goals/match▲Goals scored33/330.73 goals/match
1.67 goals/match▲Goals allowed33/332.36 goals/match
1.28 xG/match▲Expected goals33/330.91 xG/match
12.6 shots/match▲Shots33/339.48 shots/match
3.79 shots/match▲Shots on target33/333.09 shots/match
47.8%Possession33/33●49.9%
4.15 corners/match●Corners33/334.06 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
11.4 fouls/matchFouls33/3312.4 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

West Ham United17 matchesSouthampton17 matches
1.24 goals/match▲Goals scored17/170.76 goals/match
1.82 goals/match▲Goals allowed17/172.06 goals/match
1.27 xG/match▲Expected goals17/170.83 xG/match
11.4 shots/match▲Shots17/179.76 shots/match
3.76 shots/match▲Shots on target17/172.94 shots/match
49.4%Possession17/17●50.5%
4.59 corners/matchCorners17/17●4.71 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
11.2 fouls/matchFouls17/1713.1 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.04 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited
Season samples33 / 33home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 19 Apr 2025, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsWest Ham UnitedSouthampton
CompetitionPremier League
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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