Premier League · 2024Sun, 13 Apr 2025, 13:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Liverpool

WWWWL

2–1Full-time recap

West Ham United

WLDLD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Liverpool	West Ham United
Shots	15 shots/match▲	11 shots/match
Shots on target	6 shots/match▲	4 shots/match
Expected goals	1.78 xG/match▲	1.5 xG/match
Possession	55%●	45%
Corners	10 corners/match●	3 corners/match
Fouls	15 fouls/match	8 fouls/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: West Ham United's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Liverpool's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

West Ham United's recent record differs from the season

moderate

West Ham United's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.13 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	0.8 goals/match	1.13 goals/match	1.56 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Liverpool show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Liverpool's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

16.7 shots/match▲ShotsLiverpool · West Ham United12.6 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Liverpool	West Ham United	Baseline
Shots	16.7 shots/match	12.6 shots/match	13.3 shots/match
Shots against	9.59 shots/match	15.6 shots/match	12.7 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Liverpool have recorded the higher season possession share.

57.9%●PossessionLiverpool · West Ham United47.6%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 10.2 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	Liverpool	West Ham United	Baseline
Possession	57.9%	47.6%	49.8%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

4Liverpool

1Draws

0West Ham United

29 Dec 2024West Ham United — Liverpool · Premier League0–5

27 Apr 2024West Ham United — Liverpool · Premier League2–2

24 Sept 2023Liverpool — West Ham United · Premier League3–1

26 Apr 2023West Ham United — Liverpool · Premier League1–2

19 Oct 2022Liverpool — West Ham United · Premier League1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Liverpool favored in 11 of 13 directional metrics · West Ham United in 0 · 2 too close

2.31 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 32/321.13 goals/match

0.97 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 32/321.69 goals/match

2.18 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 32/321.29 xG/match

0.89 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 32/321.62 xG/match

16.7 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 32/3212.6 shots/match

9.59 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 32/3215.6 shots/match

6.13 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 32/323.78 shots/match

3.31 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 32/324.91 shots/match

57.9%●Possessionseason · 32/3247.6%

6.5 corners/match●Cornersseason · 32/324.22 corners/match

4 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 32/325.41 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

11.5 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 32/3211.3 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

41%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 32/3219%

97%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 32/3275%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Liverpool87.5

West Ham United40

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Liverpool97.5

West Ham United27.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Liverpool92.5

West Ham United22.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Liverpool82.5

West Ham United62.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Liverpool57.5

West Ham United52.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Liverpool82.5

West Ham United27.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Liverpool83.8

West Ham United35

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Liverpool32 matchesWest Ham United32 matches

2.31 goals/match▲Goals scored32/321.13 goals/match

0.97 goals/match▲Goals allowed32/321.69 goals/match

2.18 xG/match▲Expected goals32/321.29 xG/match

16.7 shots/match▲Shots32/3212.6 shots/match

6.13 shots/match▲Shots on target32/323.78 shots/match

57.9%●Possession32/3247.6%

6.5 corners/match●Corners32/324.22 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11.5 fouls/matchFouls32/3211.3 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Liverpool16 matchesWest Ham United16 matches

2.13 goals/match▲Goals scored16/161 goals/match

0.75 goals/match▲Goals allowed16/161.5 goals/match

2.15 xG/match▲Expected goals16/161.28 xG/match

16.3 shots/match▲Shots16/1613.9 shots/match

6 shots/match▲Shots on target16/163.81 shots/match

59.5%●Possession16/1646%

6.31 corners/match●Corners16/163.69 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11.4 fouls/matchFouls16/1611.6 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.96 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples32 / 32home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 13 Apr 2025, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4