Premier League · 2024Sun, 6 Apr 2025, 13:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Fulham

LWLWL

3–2Full-time recap

Liverpool

DWWWW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Fulham	Liverpool
Shots	12 shots/match	14 shots/match▲
Shots on target	6 shots/match	6 shots/match
Expected goals	0.74 xG/match	1.5 xG/match▲
Possession	38%	62%●
Corners	4 corners/match	4 corners/match
Fouls	10 fouls/match	9 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Fulham: 12 shots, 6 on target, 0.74 xG. Liverpool: 14 shots, 6 on target, 1.48 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Fulham 0.74 xG · Liverpool 1.48 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Liverpool. A second useful context is: Fulham's last-five shots average is below their season average. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Liverpool.

4.76 days▲Rest daysFulham · Liverpool3.75 days

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

Metric	Fulham	Liverpool	Baseline
Rest days	4.76 days	3.75 days	—
Matches last 14 days	1 matches	1 matches	—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Fulham's recent record differs from the season

weak

Fulham's last-five shots average is below their season average.

10.2 shots/match▲ShotsLast 5 · Season13.4 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Shots	10.2 shots/match	13.4 shots/match	13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Fulham show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Fulham's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

13.4 shots/match▲ShotsFulham · Liverpool16.7 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Fulham	Liverpool	Baseline
Shots	13.4 shots/match	16.7 shots/match	13.3 shots/match
Shots against	11.2 shots/match	9.55 shots/match	12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Fulham

2Draws

3Liverpool

14 Dec 2024Liverpool — Fulham · Premier League2–2

21 Apr 2024Fulham — Liverpool · Premier League1–3

3 Dec 2023Liverpool — Fulham · Premier League4–3

3 May 2023Liverpool — Fulham · Premier League1–0

6 Aug 2022Fulham — Liverpool · Premier League2–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Fulham favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Liverpool in 11 · 2 too close

1.52 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 31/31▲2.32 goals/match

1.35 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 31/31▲0.97 goals/match

1.33 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 31/31▲2.19 xG/match

1.2 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 31/31▲0.87 xG/match

13.4 shots/matchShotsseason · 31/31▲16.7 shots/match

11.2 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 31/31▲9.55 shots/match

4.55 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 31/31▲6.13 shots/match

4.13 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 31/31▲3.29 shots/match

52.2%Possessionseason · 31/31●58%

5.29 corners/matchCornersseason · 31/31●6.39 corners/match

4.55 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 31/31▲4.03 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

11.1 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 31/3111.4 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

16%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 31/31▲42%

87%Scoring frequencyseason · 31/31▲97%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Fulham62.5

Liverpool87.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Fulham50

Liverpool97.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Fulham64.2

Liverpool93.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Fulham47.5

Liverpool82.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Fulham37.5

Liverpool52.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Fulham57.5

Liverpool82.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Fulham49.4

Liverpool82.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Fulham31 matchesLiverpool31 matches

1.52 goals/matchGoals scored31/31▲2.32 goals/match

1.35 goals/matchGoals allowed31/31▲0.97 goals/match

1.33 xG/matchExpected goals31/31▲2.19 xG/match

13.4 shots/matchShots31/31▲16.7 shots/match

4.55 shots/matchShots on target31/31▲6.13 shots/match

52.2%Possession31/31●58%

5.29 corners/matchCorners31/31●6.39 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11.1 fouls/matchFouls31/3111.4 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Fulham16 matchesLiverpool16 matches

1.56 goals/matchGoals scored16/16▲2.5 goals/match

1.44 goals/matchGoals allowed16/16▲1.19 goals/match

1.23 xG/matchExpected goals16/16▲2.22 xG/match

14 shots/matchShots16/16▲17.1 shots/match

5.19 shots/matchShots on target16/16▲6.25 shots/match

53.1%Possession16/16●56.3%

5.56 corners/matchCorners16/16●6.69 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

10.3 fouls/matchFouls16/1611.5 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

4.76 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/13.75 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples31 / 31home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 6 Apr 2025, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4