Premier League · 2024Sun, 6 Apr 2025, 13:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Tottenham Hotspur

WLDLL

3–1Full-time recap

Southampton

LLLLD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Tottenham Hotspur	Southampton
Shots	13 shots/match▲	12 shots/match
Shots on target	8 shots/match▲	4 shots/match
Expected goals	2.12 xG/match▲	1.04 xG/match
Possession	51%●	49%
Corners	4 corners/match●	1 corners/match
Fouls	16 fouls/match	20 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Tottenham Hotspur: 13 shots, 8 on target, 2.17 xG. Southampton: 12 shots, 4 on target, 1.08 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Tottenham Hotspur 2.17 xG · Southampton 1.08 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Tottenham Hotspur's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Tottenham Hotspur, Southampton. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Tottenham Hotspur's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Tottenham Hotspur's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.87 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1 goals/match	1.87 goals/match	1.55 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Tottenham Hotspur, Southampton.

2.75 days▲Rest daysTottenham Hotspur · Southampton3.76 days

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

Metric	Tottenham Hotspur	Southampton	Baseline
Rest days	2.75 days	3.76 days	—
Matches last 14 days	1 matches	1 matches	—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Tottenham Hotspur show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Tottenham Hotspur's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

14 shots/match▲ShotsTottenham Hotspur · Southampton9.39 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Tottenham Hotspur	Southampton	Baseline
Shots	14 shots/match	9.39 shots/match	13.3 shots/match
Shots against	13.1 shots/match	17.5 shots/match	12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

2Tottenham Hotspur

2Draws

1Southampton

15 Dec 2024Southampton — Tottenham Hotspur · Premier League0–5

18 Mar 2023Southampton — Tottenham Hotspur · Premier League3–3

6 Aug 2022Tottenham Hotspur — Southampton · Premier League4–1

9 Feb 2022Tottenham Hotspur — Southampton · Premier League2–3

28 Dec 2021Southampton — Tottenham Hotspur · Premier League1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Tottenham Hotspur favored in 11 of 13 directional metrics · Southampton in 0 · 2 too close

1.87 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 31/310.74 goals/match

1.45 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 31/312.39 goals/match

1.64 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 31/310.94 xG/match

1.67 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 31/312.33 xG/match

14 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 31/319.39 shots/match

13.1 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 31/3117.5 shots/match

5.35 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 31/313.1 shots/match

4.61 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 31/316.94 shots/match

56.6%●Possessionseason · 31/3150.3%

7.1 corners/match●Cornersseason · 31/314.1 corners/match

5.39 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 31/315.84 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

11.6 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 31/3112.5 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

19%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 31/316%

77%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 31/3161%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Tottenham Hotspur82.5

Southampton52.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Tottenham Hotspur82.5

Southampton5.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Tottenham Hotspur40.8

Southampton4.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Tottenham Hotspur32.5

Southampton2.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Tottenham Hotspur62.5

Southampton87.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Tottenham Hotspur97.5

Southampton17.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Tottenham Hotspur78.8

Southampton30

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Tottenham Hotspur31 matchesSouthampton31 matches

1.87 goals/match▲Goals scored31/310.74 goals/match

1.45 goals/match▲Goals allowed31/312.39 goals/match

1.64 xG/match▲Expected goals31/310.94 xG/match

14 shots/match▲Shots31/319.39 shots/match

5.35 shots/match▲Shots on target31/313.1 shots/match

56.6%●Possession31/3150.3%

7.1 corners/match●Corners31/314.1 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11.6 fouls/matchFouls31/3112.5 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Tottenham Hotspur16 matchesSouthampton16 matches

2.06 goals/match▲Goals scored16/160.75 goals/match

1.69 goals/match▲Goals allowed16/162.13 goals/match

1.81 xG/match▲Expected goals16/160.85 xG/match

14.7 shots/match▲Shots16/169.44 shots/match

5.69 shots/match▲Shots on target16/162.88 shots/match

55.6%●Possession16/1650.6%

7.69 corners/match●Corners16/164.69 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11.2 fouls/matchFouls16/1613.1 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

2.75 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/13.76 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples31 / 31home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 6 Apr 2025, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4