PitchMath
Premier League · 2024

Southampton 1–1 Crystal Palace · Premier League

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Southampton and Crystal Palace drew 1–1.

Shots
89
Shots on target
23
Expected goals
0.510.88
Possession
43%57%

Full time

What the match recorded

Southampton and Crystal Palace drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Southampton – Crystal Palace): shots 8–9, shots on target 2–3, expected goals 0.51–0.88, possession 43%–57%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Crystal Palace's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Crystal Palace's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.28 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1.28 goals/match1.53 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Crystal Palace show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Crystal Palace's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

9.3 shots/match ▲ShotsSouthampton · Crystal Palace13.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricSouthamptonCrystal PalaceBaseline
Shots9.3 shots/match13.9 shots/match13.3 shots/match
Shots against17.6 shots/match12.5 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots8 shots9 shotsSouthampton 8 shots, Crystal Palace 9 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots3 shotsSouthampton 2 shots, Crystal Palace 3 shots
  • Expected goals0.51 xG0.88 xGSouthampton 0.51 xG, Crystal Palace 0.88 xG
  • Possession43%57%Southampton 43%, Crystal Palace 57%
  • Corners2 corners2 cornersSouthampton 2 corners, Crystal Palace 2 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls9 foulsSouthampton 14 fouls, Crystal Palace 9 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Lesley Ugochukwu · Southampton · 69′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMatheus França · Crystal Palace · 86′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJean-Philippe Mateta · Crystal Palace · 2′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedPaul Onuachu · Southampton · 41′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedEberechi Eze · Crystal Palace · 65′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMatheus França · Crystal Palace · 90′ · 0.04 xG · goalMateus Fernandes · Southampton · 24′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedEddie Nketiah · Crystal Palace · 90′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedPaul Onuachu · Southampton · 20′ · 0.07 xG · goalPaul Onuachu · Southampton · 18′ · 0.09 xG · on targetMarc Guéhi · Crystal Palace · 33′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedEddie Nketiah · Crystal Palace · 72′ · 0.10 xG · on targetKyle Walker-Peters · Southampton · 9′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedMateus Fernandes · Southampton · 9′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedEberechi Eze · Crystal Palace · 52′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedJean-Philippe Mateta · Crystal Palace · 36′ · 0.18 xG · on targetPaul Onuachu · Southampton · 58′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Southampton: 8 shots, 2 on target, 0.67 xG. Crystal Palace: 9 shots, 3 on target, 0.73 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Paul Onuachu · Southampton · 20′Matheus França · Crystal Palace · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Southampton 0.67 xG · Crystal Palace 0.73 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Southampton
1Draws
4Crystal Palace
Crystal Palace — Southampton · Premier League2–1
Southampton — Crystal Palace · Premier League0–2
Crystal Palace — Southampton · Premier League1–0
Southampton — Crystal Palace · Premier League1–2
Crystal Palace — Southampton · Premier League2–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Southampton favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Crystal Palace in 10 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Southampton30 matchesCrystal Palace29 matches
0.73 goals/matchGoals scored30/29▲ 1.28 goals/match
2.37 goals/matchGoals allowed30/29▲ 1.17 goals/match
0.94 xG/matchExpected goals30/29▲ 1.55 xG/match
9.3 shots/matchShots30/29▲ 13.9 shots/match
3.07 shots/matchShots on target30/29▲ 4.93 shots/match
50.3% ●Possession30/2944.3%
4.2 corners/matchCorners30/29● 4.66 corners/match
12.2 fouls/matchFouls30/2910.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples30 / 29home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 2 Apr 2025, 22:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSouthamptonCrystal Palace
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2024/25
Head-to-headSouthampton — Crystal Palace
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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