PitchMath
Premier League · 2024

Crystal Palace 2–1 Brighton & Hove Albion · Premier League

2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Crystal Palace won 2–1.

Shots
811
Shots on target
35
Expected goals
0.61
Possession
38%62%

Full time

What the match recorded

Crystal Palace beat Brighton & Hove Albion 2–1. Recorded in this match (Crystal Palace – Brighton & Hove Albion): shots 8–11, shots on target 3–5, expected goals 0.6–1, possession 38%–62%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Crystal Palace's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Crystal Palace's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.3 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1.3 goals/match1.53 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Crystal Palace, Brighton & Hove Albion.

2.8 days ▲Rest daysCrystal Palace · Brighton & Hove Albion2.8 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricCrystal PalaceBrighton & Hove AlbionBaseline
Rest days2.8 days2.8 days—
Matches last 14 days1 match1 match—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Brighton & Hove Albion have recorded the higher season possession share.

44.1%PossessionCrystal Palace · Brighton & Hove Albion● 52.5%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.4 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricCrystal PalaceBrighton & Hove AlbionBaseline
Possession44.1%52.5%50.2%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots8 shots11 shotsCrystal Palace 8 shots, Brighton & Hove Albion 11 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots5 shotsCrystal Palace 3 shots, Brighton & Hove Albion 5 shots
  • Expected goals0.6 xG1 xGCrystal Palace 0.6 xG, Brighton & Hove Albion 1 xG
  • Possession38%62%Crystal Palace 38%, Brighton & Hove Albion 62%
  • Corners2 corners4 cornersCrystal Palace 2 corners, Brighton & Hove Albion 4 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls13 foulsCrystal Palace 12 fouls, Brighton & Hove Albion 13 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Carlos Baleba · Brighton & Hove Albion · 13′ · 0.01 xG · on targetEberechi Eze · Crystal Palace · 39′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJack Hinshelwood · Brighton & Hove Albion · 73′ · 0.02 xG · on targetPervis Estupiñán · Brighton & Hove Albion · 5′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKaoru Mitoma · Brighton & Hove Albion · 12′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJustin Devenny · Crystal Palace · 83′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedPervis Estupiñán · Brighton & Hove Albion · 42′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedCarlos Baleba · Brighton & Hove Albion · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedBen Chilwell · Crystal Palace · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedEberechi Eze · Crystal Palace · 9′ · 0.05 xG · on targetDaniel Muñoz · Crystal Palace · 55′ · 0.05 xG · goalYasin Ayari · Brighton & Hove Albion · 90′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMats Wieffer · Brighton & Hove Albion · 90′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedJean-Philippe Mateta · Crystal Palace · 3′ · 0.08 xG · goalMaxence Lacroix · Crystal Palace · 64′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedYasin Ayari · Brighton & Hove Albion · 90′ · 0.18 xG · on targetMaxence Lacroix · Crystal Palace · 10′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedDanny Welbeck · Brighton & Hove Albion · 13′ · 0.22 xG · on targetDanny Welbeck · Brighton & Hove Albion · 31′ · 0.29 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Crystal Palace: 8 shots, 3 on target, 0.58 xG. Brighton & Hove Albion: 11 shots, 5 on target, 0.99 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Jean-Philippe Mateta · Crystal Palace · 3′Daniel Muñoz · Crystal Palace · 55′Danny Welbeck · Brighton & Hove Albion · 31′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Crystal Palace 0.58 xG · Brighton & Hove Albion 0.99 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Crystal Palace
2Draws
2Brighton & Hove Albion
Brighton & Hove Albion — Crystal Palace · Premier League1–3
Brighton & Hove Albion — Crystal Palace · Premier League4–1
Crystal Palace — Brighton & Hove Albion · Premier League1–1
Brighton & Hove Albion — Crystal Palace · Premier League1–0
Crystal Palace — Brighton & Hove Albion · Premier League1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Crystal Palace favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · Brighton & Hove Albion in 3 · 5 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Crystal Palace30 matchesBrighton & Hove Albion31 matches
1.3 goals/matchGoals scored30/31▲ 1.58 goals/match
1.17 goals/match ▲Goals allowed30/311.52 goals/match
1.51 xG/matchExpected goals30/311.48 xG/match
13.7 shots/matchShots30/3113.7 shots/match
4.87 shots/matchShots on target30/314.77 shots/match
44.1%Possession30/31● 52.5%
4.57 corners/matchCorners30/31● 4.87 corners/match
10.8 fouls/matchFouls30/3111.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples30 / 31home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 5 Apr 2025, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCrystal PalaceBrighton & Hove Albion
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2024/25
Head-to-headCrystal Palace — Brighton & Hove Albion
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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