PitchMath
Premier League · 2024Sat, 5 Apr 2025, 14:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap
2–2Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricWest Ham UnitedBournemouth
Shots9 shots/match11 shots/match▲
Shots on target3 shots/match4 shots/match▲
Expected goals0.69 xG/match2.12 xG/match▲
Possession56%●44%
Corners4 corners/match7 corners/match●
Fouls13 fouls/match13 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Tomáš Souček · West Ham United · 5′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAntoine Semenyo · Bournemouth · 38′ · 0.02 xG · on targetCarlos Soler · West Ham United · 65′ · 0.02 xG · on targetAntoine Semenyo · Bournemouth · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLucas Paquetá · West Ham United · 24′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDango Ouattara · Bournemouth · 58′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAntoine Semenyo · Bournemouth · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAntoine Semenyo · Bournemouth · 45′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDean Huijsen · Bournemouth · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJarrod Bowen · West Ham United · 89′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAntoine Semenyo · Bournemouth · 82′ · 0.07 xG · on targetJarrod Bowen · West Ham United · 68′ · 0.09 xG · goalJarrod Bowen · West Ham United · 74′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedLuis Guilherme · West Ham United · 86′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedJarrod Bowen · West Ham United · 64′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedNiclas Füllkrug · West Ham United · 61′ · 0.15 xG · goalIlya Zabarnyi · Bournemouth · 43′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedEvanilson · Bournemouth · 2′ · 0.22 xG · off target or blockedEvanilson · Bournemouth · 38′ · 0.71 xG · goalEvanilson · Bournemouth · 79′ · 0.77 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

West Ham United: 9 shots, 3 on target, 0.69 xG. Bournemouth: 11 shots, 4 on target, 2.13 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Niclas Füllkrug · West Ham United · 61′Jarrod Bowen · West Ham United · 68′Evanilson · Bournemouth · 38′Evanilson · Bournemouth · 79′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: West Ham United 0.69 xG · Bournemouth 2.13 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for West Ham United, Bournemouth. A second useful context is: West Ham United's last-five shots average is below their season average. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for West Ham United, Bournemouth.

3.8 days▲Rest daysWest Ham United · Bournemouth2.8 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricWest Ham UnitedBournemouthBaseline
Rest days3.8 days2.8 days—
Matches last 14 days1 matches1 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

West Ham United's recent record differs from the season

moderate

West Ham United's last-five shots average is below their season average.

9.2 shots/match▲ShotsLast 5 · Season12.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots9.2 shots/match12.7 shots/match13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Bournemouth show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Bournemouth's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

12.7 shots/match▲ShotsWest Ham United · Bournemouth15.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricWest Ham UnitedBournemouthBaseline
Shots12.7 shots/match15.9 shots/match13.3 shots/match
Shots against15.6 shots/match13.1 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

2West Ham United
3Draws
0Bournemouth
Bournemouth — West Ham United · Premier League1–1
West Ham United — Bournemouth · Premier League1–1
Bournemouth — West Ham United · Premier League1–1
Bournemouth — West Ham United · Premier League0–4
West Ham United — Bournemouth · Premier League2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

West Ham United favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Bournemouth in 9 · 4 too close

1.13 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 31/31▲1.65 goals/match
1.68 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 31/31▲1.29 goals/match
1.28 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 31/31▲1.86 xG/match
1.61 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 31/31▲1.32 xG/match
12.7 shots/matchShotsseason · 31/31▲15.9 shots/match
15.6 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 31/31▲13.1 shots/match
3.77 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 31/31▲5.68 shots/match
4.87 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 31/314.74 shots/match
47.7%●Possessionseason · 31/3147.5%
4.26 corners/matchCornersseason · 31/31●6.19 corners/match
5.26 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 31/31▲4.97 corners/match
—Cardsseason · 0/0—
11.5 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 31/3113.7 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
19%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 31/3119%
74%Scoring frequencyseason · 31/31▲81%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

West Ham United32.5
Bournemouth27.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

West Ham United29.2
Bournemouth76.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

West Ham United20.8
Bournemouth44.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

West Ham United67.5
Bournemouth97.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

West Ham United62.5
Bournemouth97.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

West Ham United32.5
Bournemouth77.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

West Ham United40
Bournemouth86.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

West Ham United31 matchesBournemouth31 matches
1.13 goals/matchGoals scored31/31▲1.65 goals/match
1.68 goals/matchGoals allowed31/31▲1.29 goals/match
1.28 xG/matchExpected goals31/31▲1.86 xG/match
12.7 shots/matchShots31/31▲15.9 shots/match
3.77 shots/matchShots on target31/31▲5.68 shots/match
47.7%●Possession31/3147.5%
4.26 corners/matchCorners31/31●6.19 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
11.5 fouls/matchFouls31/3113.7 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

West Ham United16 matchesBournemouth16 matches
1.25 goals/matchGoals scored16/16▲2 goals/match
1.88 goals/matchGoals allowed16/16▲1.63 goals/match
1.29 xG/matchExpected goals16/16▲1.89 xG/match
11.4 shots/matchShots16/16▲14.7 shots/match
3.75 shots/matchShots on target16/16▲5.44 shots/match
49.3%●Possession16/1647.2%
4.75 corners/matchCorners16/16●6.25 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
11.1 fouls/matchFouls16/1613.5 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

3.8 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/12.8 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited
Season samples31 / 31home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 5 Apr 2025, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsWest Ham UnitedBournemouth
CompetitionPremier League
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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West Ham United vs Bournemouth — stats, xG & match recap | PitchMath