Premier League · 2024Tue, 1 Apr 2025, 18:45 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Wolverhampton

LWLDW

1–0Full-time recap

West Ham United

LWWLD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Wolverhampton	West Ham United
Shots	9 shots/match	10 shots/match▲
Shots on target	2 shots/match▲	1 shots/match
Expected goals	1.18 xG/match	1.34 xG/match▲
Possession	41%	59%●
Corners	1 corners/match	2 corners/match●
Fouls	16 fouls/match	12 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Wolverhampton: 9 shots, 2 on target, 1.20 xG. West Ham United: 10 shots, 1 on target, 1.37 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Wolverhampton 1.20 xG · West Ham United 1.37 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: West Ham United's last-five shots average is below their season average. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

West Ham United's recent record differs from the season

moderate

West Ham United's last-five shots average is below their season average.

8.4 shots/match▲ShotsLast 5 · Season12.8 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Shots	8.4 shots/match	12.8 shots/match	13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Wolverhampton

0Draws

4West Ham United

9 Dec 2024West Ham United — Wolverhampton · Premier League2–1

6 Apr 2024Wolverhampton — West Ham United · Premier League1–2

17 Dec 2023West Ham United — Wolverhampton · Premier League3–0

14 Jan 2023Wolverhampton — West Ham United · Premier League1–0

1 Oct 2022West Ham United — Wolverhampton · Premier League2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Wolverhampton favored in 4 of 13 directional metrics · West Ham United in 4 · 5 too close

1.37 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 30/301.1 goals/match

1.93 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 30/30▲1.67 goals/match

1.11 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 30/30▲1.3 xG/match

1.6 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 30/301.6 xG/match

10.9 shots/matchShotsseason · 30/30▲12.8 shots/match

13.1 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 30/3015.8 shots/match

4.23 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 30/303.8 shots/match

4.77 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 30/304.9 shots/match

47.6%●Possessionseason · 30/3047.4%

3.47 corners/matchCornersseason · 30/30●4.27 corners/match

6.23 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 30/30▲5.2 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

13.1 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 30/3011.4 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

20%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 30/3020%

83%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 30/3073%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Wolverhampton37.5

West Ham United32.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Wolverhampton29.2

West Ham United27.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Wolverhampton30.8

West Ham United20.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Wolverhampton12.5

West Ham United67.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Wolverhampton92.5

West Ham United52.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Wolverhampton2.5

West Ham United27.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Wolverhampton36.2

West Ham United36.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Wolverhampton30 matchesWest Ham United30 matches

1.37 goals/match▲Goals scored30/301.1 goals/match

1.93 goals/matchGoals allowed30/30▲1.67 goals/match

1.11 xG/matchExpected goals30/30▲1.3 xG/match

10.9 shots/matchShots30/30▲12.8 shots/match

4.23 shots/match▲Shots on target30/303.8 shots/match

47.6%●Possession30/3047.4%

3.47 corners/matchCorners30/30●4.27 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

13.1 fouls/matchFouls30/3011.4 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Wolverhampton15 matchesWest Ham United15 matches

1.27 goals/match▲Goals scored15/151 goals/match

1.8 goals/matchGoals allowed15/15▲1.47 goals/match

1.16 xG/matchExpected goals15/15▲1.27 xG/match

10.3 shots/matchShots15/15▲14.1 shots/match

4.13 shots/match▲Shots on target15/153.8 shots/match

47.9%●Possession15/1546.1%

3.6 corners/matchCorners15/15●3.73 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

13.2 fouls/matchFouls15/1511.9 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

17.2 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/117.2 days

0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples30 / 30home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Tue, 1 Apr 2025, 22:45 UTC · analysis-v4