PitchMath
Premier League · 2024

Brighton & Hove Albion 0–3 Aston Villa · Premier League

0–3Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Aston Villa won 0–3.

Shots
118
Shots on target
45
Expected goals
1.011.2
Possession
56%44%

Full time

What the match recorded

Aston Villa beat Brighton & Hove Albion 3–0. Recorded in this match (Brighton & Hove Albion – Aston Villa): shots 11–8, shots on target 4–5, expected goals 1.01–1.2, possession 56%–44%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Brighton & Hove Albion's recent record differs from the season

weak

Brighton & Hove Albion's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.6 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1.6 goals/match1.53 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Aston Villa have a visible away split

moderate

Aston Villa's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.8 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season12.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9.8 shots/match12.4 shots/match13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots8 shotsBrighton & Hove Albion 11 shots, Aston Villa 8 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots5 shotsBrighton & Hove Albion 4 shots, Aston Villa 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.01 xG1.2 xGBrighton & Hove Albion 1.01 xG, Aston Villa 1.2 xG
  • Possession56%44%Brighton & Hove Albion 56%, Aston Villa 44%
  • Corners4 corners0 cornersBrighton & Hove Albion 4 corners, Aston Villa 0 corners
  • Fouls16 fouls11 foulsBrighton & Hove Albion 16 fouls, Aston Villa 11 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Carlos Baleba · Brighton & Hove Albion · 89′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMatty Cash · Aston Villa · 21′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJan Paul van Hecke · Brighton & Hove Albion · 51′ · 0.02 xG · on targetPervis Estupiñán · Brighton & Hove Albion · 55′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSimon Adingra · Brighton & Hove Albion · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedSimon Adingra · Brighton & Hove Albion · 25′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedYasin Ayari · Brighton & Hove Albion · 42′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedEzri Konsa · Aston Villa · 5′ · 0.06 xG · on targetKaoru Mitoma · Brighton & Hove Albion · 16′ · 0.06 xG · on targetDonyell Malen · Aston Villa · 90′ · 0.06 xG · goalMarcus Rashford · Aston Villa · 12′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedJoão Pedro · Brighton & Hove Albion · 63′ · 0.10 xG · on targetMarco Asensio · Aston Villa · 77′ · 0.13 xG · on targetYasin Ayari · Brighton & Hove Albion · 90′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedJohn McGinn · Aston Villa · 9′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedKaoru Mitoma · Brighton & Hove Albion · 36′ · 0.19 xG · on targetYasin Ayari · Brighton & Hove Albion · 90′ · 0.22 xG · off target or blockedMarco Asensio · Aston Villa · 78′ · 0.27 xG · goalMarcus Rashford · Aston Villa · 51′ · 0.44 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Brighton & Hove Albion: 11 shots, 4 on target, 0.91 xG. Aston Villa: 8 shots, 5 on target, 1.24 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Marcus Rashford · Aston Villa · 51′Marco Asensio · Aston Villa · 78′Donyell Malen · Aston Villa · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Brighton & Hove Albion 0.91 xG · Aston Villa 1.24 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Brighton & Hove Albion
1Draws
3Aston Villa
Aston Villa — Brighton & Hove Albion · Premier League2–2
Brighton & Hove Albion — Aston Villa · Premier League1–0
Aston Villa — Brighton & Hove Albion · Premier League6–1
Aston Villa — Brighton & Hove Albion · Premier League2–1
Brighton & Hove Albion — Aston Villa · Premier League1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Brighton & Hove Albion favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · Aston Villa in 1 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Brighton & Hove Albion30 matchesAston Villa30 matches
1.6 goals/match ▲Goals scored30/301.47 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed30/301.5 goals/match
1.5 xG/matchExpected goals30/301.46 xG/match
13.8 shots/match ▲Shots30/3012.4 shots/match
4.77 shots/match ▲Shots on target30/304.2 shots/match
52.1% ●Possession30/3051.2%
4.9 corners/matchCorners30/30● 6.23 corners/match
11.8 fouls/matchFouls30/3011.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples30 / 30home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 2 Apr 2025, 22:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBrighton & Hove AlbionAston Villa
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2024/25
Head-to-headBrighton & Hove Albion — Aston Villa
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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