PitchMath
Premier League · 2024

Manchester City 2–0 Leicester City · Premier League

2–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Manchester City won 2–0.

Shots
182
Shots on target
50
Expected goals
2.240.07
Possession
72%28%

Full time

What the match recorded

Manchester City beat Leicester City 2–0. Recorded in this match (Manchester City – Leicester City): shots 18–2, shots on target 5–0, expected goals 2.24–0.07, possession 72%–28%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Leicester City's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Leicester City's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.83 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0 goals/match0.83 goals/match1.53 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Leicester City show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Leicester City's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

16.1 shots/match ▲ShotsManchester City · Leicester City8.77 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricManchester CityLeicester CityBaseline
Shots16.1 shots/match8.77 shots/match13.3 shots/match
Shots against9.67 shots/match16.4 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Manchester City have recorded the higher season possession share.

61.2% ●PossessionManchester City · Leicester City45.2%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 16.0 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricManchester CityLeicester CityBaseline
Possession61.2%45.2%50.2%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots18 shots2 shotsManchester City 18 shots, Leicester City 2 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots0 shotsManchester City 5 shots, Leicester City 0 shots
  • Expected goals2.24 xG0.07 xGManchester City 2.24 xG, Leicester City 0.07 xG
  • Possession72%28%Manchester City 72%, Leicester City 28%
  • Corners5 corners0 cornersManchester City 5 corners, Leicester City 0 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls8 foulsManchester City 11 fouls, Leicester City 8 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

James McAtee · Manchester City · 79′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJames McAtee · Manchester City · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedBilal El Khannouss · Leicester City · 16′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedOmar Marmoush · Manchester City · 42′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSavinho · Manchester City · 40′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedOmar Marmoush · Manchester City · 85′ · 0.04 xG · on targetOmar Marmoush · Manchester City · 35′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJoško Gvardiol · Manchester City · 35′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedRicardo Pereira · Leicester City · 88′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedOmar Marmoush · Manchester City · 90′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJack Grealish · Manchester City · 47′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedİlkay Gündoğan · Manchester City · 56′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedNico O'Reilly · Manchester City · 55′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedOmar Marmoush · Manchester City · 2′ · 0.12 xG · on targetSavinho · Manchester City · 37′ · 0.12 xG · on targetOmar Marmoush · Manchester City · 59′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedOmar Marmoush · Manchester City · 43′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedJack Grealish · Manchester City · 2′ · 0.26 xG · goalOmar Marmoush · Manchester City · 33′ · 0.32 xG · off target or blockedOmar Marmoush · Manchester City · 29′ · 0.46 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Manchester City: 18 shots, 5 on target, 2.19 xG. Leicester City: 2 shots, 0 on target, 0.08 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Jack Grealish · Manchester City · 2′Omar Marmoush · Manchester City · 29′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Manchester City 2.19 xG · Leicester City 0.08 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

5Manchester City
0Draws
0Leicester City
Leicester City — Manchester City · Premier League0–2
Manchester City — Leicester City · Premier League3–1
Leicester City — Manchester City · Premier League0–1
Manchester City — Leicester City · Premier League6–3
Leicester City — Manchester City · Premier League0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Manchester City favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · Leicester City in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Manchester City30 matchesLeicester City30 matches
1.9 goals/match ▲Goals scored30/300.83 goals/match
1.33 goals/match ▲Goals allowed30/302.23 goals/match
1.81 xG/match ▲Expected goals30/300.87 xG/match
16.1 shots/match ▲Shots30/308.77 shots/match
5.77 shots/match ▲Shots on target30/302.93 shots/match
61.2% ●Possession30/3045.2%
6.87 corners/match ●Corners30/303.5 corners/match
7.53 fouls/matchFouls30/3010.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples30 / 30home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 2 Apr 2025, 22:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsManchester CityLeicester City
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2024/25
Head-to-headManchester City — Leicester City
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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