PitchMath
Premier League · 2024

Leicester City 0–3 Newcastle United · Premier League

0–3Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Newcastle United won 0–3.

Shots
716
Shots on target
25
Expected goals
0.483.28
Possession
58%42%

Full time

What the match recorded

Newcastle United beat Leicester City 3–0. Recorded in this match (Leicester City – Newcastle United): shots 7–16, shots on target 2–5, expected goals 0.48–3.28, possession 58%–42%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Leicester City's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Leicester City's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.81 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0 goals/match0.81 goals/match1.55 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Leicester City show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Leicester City's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

8.71 shots/match ▲ShotsLeicester City · Newcastle United13.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricLeicester CityNewcastle UnitedBaseline
Shots8.71 shots/match13.3 shots/match13.4 shots/match
Shots against16.4 shots/match12.7 shots/match12.7 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots7 shots16 shotsLeicester City 7 shots, Newcastle United 16 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots5 shotsLeicester City 2 shots, Newcastle United 5 shots
  • Expected goals0.48 xG3.28 xGLeicester City 0.48 xG, Newcastle United 3.28 xG
  • Possession58%42%Leicester City 58%, Newcastle United 42%
  • Corners12 corners2 cornersLeicester City 12 corners, Newcastle United 2 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls9 foulsLeicester City 8 fouls, Newcastle United 9 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Facundo Buonanotte · Leicester City · 78′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedFabian Schär · Newcastle United · 11′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFabian Schär · Newcastle United · 68′ · 0.02 xG · on targetJamie Vardy · Leicester City · 1′ · 0.03 xG · on targetTino Livramento · Newcastle United · 23′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKieran Trippier · Newcastle United · 48′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDan Burn · Newcastle United · 53′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedFacundo Buonanotte · Leicester City · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJamie Vardy · Leicester City · 36′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedWilliam Osula · Newcastle United · 74′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAlexander Isak · Newcastle United · 13′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedBilal El Khannouss · Leicester City · 31′ · 0.05 xG · on targetAlexander Isak · Newcastle United · 34′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAlexander Isak · Newcastle United · 40′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedSandro Tonali · Newcastle United · 90′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJoelinton · Newcastle United · 34′ · 0.07 xG · on targetHarvey Barnes · Newcastle United · 22′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedJamie Vardy · Leicester City · 50′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedWout Faes · Leicester City · 90′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedHarvey Barnes · Newcastle United · 90′ · 0.30 xG · off target or blockedJacob Murphy · Newcastle United · 2′ · 0.70 xG · goalHarvey Barnes · Newcastle United · 34′ · 0.87 xG · goalJacob Murphy · Newcastle United · 11′ · 0.88 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Leicester City: 7 shots, 2 on target, 0.45 xG. Newcastle United: 16 shots, 5 on target, 3.31 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.753.50′HT90′Jacob Murphy · Newcastle United · 2′Jacob Murphy · Newcastle United · 11′Harvey Barnes · Newcastle United · 34′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Leicester City 0.45 xG · Newcastle United 3.31 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Leicester City
1Draws
3Newcastle United
Newcastle United — Leicester City · Premier League4–0
Newcastle United — Leicester City · Premier League0–0
Leicester City — Newcastle United · Premier League0–3
Newcastle United — Leicester City · Premier League2–1
Leicester City — Newcastle United · Premier League4–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Leicester City favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Newcastle United in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Leicester City31 matchesNewcastle United30 matches
0.81 goals/matchGoals scored31/30▲ 1.73 goals/match
2.26 goals/matchGoals allowed31/30▲ 1.3 goals/match
0.85 xG/matchExpected goals31/30▲ 1.71 xG/match
8.71 shots/matchShots31/30▲ 13.3 shots/match
2.9 shots/matchShots on target31/30▲ 4.33 shots/match
45.6%Possession31/30● 49.8%
3.77 corners/matchCorners31/30● 5.4 corners/match
10.5 fouls/matchFouls31/3010.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples31 / 30home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 7 Apr 2025, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsLeicester CityNewcastle United
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2024/25
Head-to-headLeicester City — Newcastle United
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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