PitchMath
Premier League · 2024

Brighton & Hove Albion 2–2 Leicester City · Premier League

2–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Brighton & Hove Albion and Leicester City drew 2–2.

Shots
2115
Shots on target
76
Expected goals
3.911.5
Possession
59%41%

Full time

What the match recorded

Brighton & Hove Albion and Leicester City drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (Brighton & Hove Albion – Leicester City): shots 21–15, shots on target 7–6, expected goals 3.91–1.5, possession 59%–41%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Leicester City's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Leicester City's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.84 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match0.84 goals/match1.56 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Leicester City show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Leicester City's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

13.9 shots/match ▲ShotsBrighton & Hove Albion · Leicester City8.91 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBrighton & Hove AlbionLeicester CityBaseline
Shots13.9 shots/match8.91 shots/match13.4 shots/match
Shots against11.1 shots/match16.6 shots/match12.7 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots21 shots15 shotsBrighton & Hove Albion 21 shots, Leicester City 15 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots6 shotsBrighton & Hove Albion 7 shots, Leicester City 6 shots
  • Expected goals3.91 xG1.5 xGBrighton & Hove Albion 3.91 xG, Leicester City 1.5 xG
  • Possession59%41%Brighton & Hove Albion 59%, Leicester City 41%
  • Corners3 corners6 cornersBrighton & Hove Albion 3 corners, Leicester City 6 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls11 foulsBrighton & Hove Albion 9 fouls, Leicester City 11 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Kasey McAteer · Leicester City · 45′ · 0.02 xG · on targetBoubakary Soumaré · Leicester City · 86′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSimon Adingra · Brighton & Hove Albion · 50′ · 0.03 xG · on targetStephy Mavididi · Leicester City · 88′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKasey McAteer · Leicester City · 72′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedPatson Daka · Leicester City · 85′ · 0.04 xG · on targetStephy Mavididi · Leicester City · 8′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedYasin Ayari · Brighton & Hove Albion · 33′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedStephy Mavididi · Leicester City · 38′ · 0.05 xG · goalSimon Adingra · Brighton & Hove Albion · 46′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedPatson Daka · Leicester City · 67′ · 0.05 xG · on targetBilal El Khannouss · Leicester City · 87′ · 0.05 xG · on targetMatt O'Riley · Brighton & Hove Albion · 45′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedDanny Welbeck · Brighton & Hove Albion · 48′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedDanny Welbeck · Brighton & Hove Albion · 7′ · 0.08 xG · on targetLuke Thomas · Leicester City · 36′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedBrajan Gruda · Brighton & Hove Albion · 90′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedSimon Adingra · Brighton & Hove Albion · 11′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedSimon Adingra · Brighton & Hove Albion · 27′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedDanny Welbeck · Brighton & Hove Albion · 32′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedWilfred Ndidi · Leicester City · 21′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedPatson Daka · Leicester City · 85′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedDanny Welbeck · Brighton & Hove Albion · 90′ · 0.11 xG · on targetStephy Mavididi · Leicester City · 23′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedDanny Welbeck · Brighton & Hove Albion · 45′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedSimon Adingra · Brighton & Hove Albion · 16′ · 0.13 xG · on targetJoão Pedro · Brighton & Hove Albion · 43′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedMatt O'Riley · Brighton & Hove Albion · 41′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedDanny Welbeck · Brighton & Hove Albion · 26′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedSimon Adingra · Brighton & Hove Albion · 37′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedYankuba Minteh · Brighton & Hove Albion · 9′ · 0.24 xG · off target or blockedPatson Daka · Leicester City · 87′ · 0.26 xG · off target or blockedMatt O'Riley · Brighton & Hove Albion · 50′ · 0.41 xG · on targetCaleb Okoli · Leicester City · 74′ · 0.46 xG · goalJoão Pedro · Brighton & Hove Albion · 31′ · 0.82 xG · goalJoão Pedro · Brighton & Hove Albion · 55′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Brighton & Hove Albion: 21 shots, 7 on target, 3.99 xG. Leicester City: 15 shots, 6 on target, 1.48 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0240′HT90′João Pedro · Brighton & Hove Albion · 31′João Pedro · Brighton & Hove Albion · 55′Stephy Mavididi · Leicester City · 38′Caleb Okoli · Leicester City · 74′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Brighton & Hove Albion 3.99 xG · Leicester City 1.48 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Brighton & Hove Albion
3Draws
0Leicester City
Leicester City — Brighton & Hove Albion · Premier League2–2
Leicester City — Brighton & Hove Albion · Premier League2–2
Brighton & Hove Albion — Leicester City · Premier League5–2
Leicester City — Brighton & Hove Albion · Premier League1–1
Brighton & Hove Albion — Leicester City · Premier League2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Brighton & Hove Albion favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · Leicester City in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Brighton & Hove Albion32 matchesLeicester City32 matches
1.59 goals/match ▲Goals scored32/320.84 goals/match
1.53 goals/match ▲Goals allowed32/322.25 goals/match
1.56 xG/match ▲Expected goals32/320.87 xG/match
13.9 shots/match ▲Shots32/328.91 shots/match
4.84 shots/match ▲Shots on target32/323 shots/match
52.7% ●Possession32/3245.5%
4.81 corners/match ●Corners32/323.84 corners/match
11.8 fouls/matchFouls32/3210.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples32 / 32home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 12 Apr 2025, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBrighton & Hove AlbionLeicester City
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2024/25
Head-to-headBrighton & Hove Albion — Leicester City
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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