PitchMath
Premier League · 2024Wed, 2 Apr 2025, 19:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap
1–0Full-time recap

Everton

WDDDD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricLiverpoolEverton
Shots17 shots/match▲5 shots/match
Shots on target3 shots/match▲0 shots/match
Expected goals1.39 xG/match▲0.67 xG/match
Possession74%●26%
Corners11 corners/match●5 corners/match
Fouls7 fouls/match11 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Diogo Jota · Liverpool · 52′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRyan Gravenberch · Liverpool · 53′ · 0.02 xG · on targetAlexis Mac Allister · Liverpool · 54′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDarwin Núñez · Liverpool · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedCarlos Alcaraz · Everton · 45′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJack Harrison · Everton · 52′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDiogo Jota · Liverpool · 27′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRyan Gravenberch · Liverpool · 45′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedCurtis Jones · Liverpool · 85′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDominik Szoboszlai · Liverpool · 15′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedLuis Díaz · Liverpool · 32′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedLuis Díaz · Liverpool · 56′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Salah · Liverpool · 28′ · 0.07 xG · on targetAndy Robertson · Liverpool · 43′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedDiogo Jota · Liverpool · 54′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedDiogo Jota · Liverpool · 57′ · 0.10 xG · goalCarlos Alcaraz · Everton · 17′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedDiogo Jota · Liverpool · 11′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedLuis Díaz · Liverpool · 82′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedCarlos Alcaraz · Everton · 45′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedIbrahima Konaté · Liverpool · 2′ · 0.49 xG · off target or blockedBeto · Everton · 33′ · 0.55 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Liverpool: 17 shots, 3 on target, 1.48 xG. Everton: 5 shots, 0 on target, 0.89 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Diogo Jota · Liverpool · 57′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Liverpool 1.48 xG · Everton 0.89 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Everton's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Liverpool have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Everton show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Everton's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

16.8 shots/match▲ShotsLiverpool · Everton10.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricLiverpoolEvertonBaseline
Shots16.8 shots/match10.9 shots/match13.3 shots/match
Shots against9.47 shots/match12.7 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Liverpool have recorded the higher season possession share.

57.8%●PossessionLiverpool · Everton40%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 17.9 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricLiverpoolEvertonBaseline
Possession57.8%40%50.2%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

2Liverpool
2Draws
1Everton
Everton — Liverpool · Premier League2–2
Everton — Liverpool · Premier League2–0
Liverpool — Everton · Premier League2–0
Liverpool — Everton · Premier League2–0
Everton — Liverpool · Premier League0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Liverpool favored in 11 of 13 directional metrics · Everton in 0 · 2 too close

2.33 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 30/301.07 goals/match
0.9 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 30/301.23 goals/match
2.22 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 30/301.1 xG/match
0.87 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 30/301.25 xG/match
16.8 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 30/3010.9 shots/match
9.47 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 30/3012.7 shots/match
6.13 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 30/303.67 shots/match
3.2 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 30/304.23 shots/match
57.8%●Possessionseason · 30/3040%
6.47 corners/match●Cornersseason · 30/304.2 corners/match
4.03 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 30/306 corners/match
—Cardsseason · 0/0—
11.4 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 30/3011.5 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
43%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 30/3030%
97%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 30/3057%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Liverpool87.5
Everton7.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Liverpool97.5
Everton19.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Liverpool95.8
Everton64.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Liverpool82.5
Everton77.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Liverpool62.5
Everton67.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Liverpool85
Everton20
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Liverpool85.6
Everton31.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Liverpool30 matchesEverton30 matches
2.33 goals/match▲Goals scored30/301.07 goals/match
0.9 goals/match▲Goals allowed30/301.23 goals/match
2.22 xG/match▲Expected goals30/301.1 xG/match
16.8 shots/match▲Shots30/3010.9 shots/match
6.13 shots/match▲Shots on target30/303.67 shots/match
57.8%●Possession30/3040%
6.47 corners/match●Corners30/304.2 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
11.4 fouls/matchFouls30/3011.5 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Liverpool15 matchesEverton15 matches
2.13 goals/match▲Goals scored15/150.73 goals/match
0.73 goals/match▲Goals allowed15/151.27 goals/match
2.17 xG/match▲Expected goals15/150.98 xG/match
16.4 shots/match▲Shots15/1510 shots/match
6 shots/match▲Shots on target15/153 shots/match
59.8%●Possession15/1536.5%
6.07 corners/match●Corners15/153.8 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
11.2 fouls/matchFouls15/1511.8 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

25.2 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/118.2 days
0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited
Season samples30 / 30home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 2 Apr 2025, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsLiverpoolEverton
CompetitionPremier League
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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Liverpool vs Everton — stats, xG & match recap | PitchMath