PitchMath
Premier League · 2024

Everton 1–1 Arsenal · Premier League

Everton

DDDDL
1–1Historical match

Arsenal

LDDWW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Everton and Arsenal drew 1–1.

Shots
514
Shots on target
25
Expected goals
1.091.79
Possession
30%70%

Full time

What the match recorded

Everton and Arsenal drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Everton – Arsenal): shots 5–14, shots on target 2–5, expected goals 1.09–1.79, possession 30%–70%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Arsenal's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Arsenal's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.81 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match1.81 goals/match1.52 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Everton, Arsenal.

2.69 days ▲Rest daysEverton · Arsenal3.7 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricEvertonArsenalBaseline
Rest days2.69 days3.7 days—
Matches last 14 days1 match1 match—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Everton show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Everton's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

10.7 shots/match ▲ShotsEverton · Arsenal14 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricEvertonArsenalBaseline
Shots10.7 shots/match14 shots/match13.3 shots/match
Shots against12.7 shots/match9.55 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots5 shots14 shotsEverton 5 shots, Arsenal 14 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots5 shotsEverton 2 shots, Arsenal 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.09 xG1.79 xGEverton 1.09 xG, Arsenal 1.79 xG
  • Possession30%70%Everton 30%, Arsenal 70%
  • Corners3 corners8 cornersEverton 3 corners, Arsenal 8 corners
  • Fouls17 fouls13 foulsEverton 17 fouls, Arsenal 13 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Iliman Ndiaye · Everton · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAbdoulaye Doucouré · Everton · 52′ · 0.04 xG · on targetLeandro Trossard · Arsenal · 54′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedGabriel Martinelli · Arsenal · 84′ · 0.04 xG · on targetBukayo Saka · Arsenal · 53′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedMikel Merino · Arsenal · 89′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedMikel Merino · Arsenal · 12′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedBukayo Saka · Arsenal · 59′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedLeandro Trossard · Arsenal · 34′ · 0.11 xG · goalJake O'Brien · Everton · 38′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedDeclan Rice · Arsenal · 64′ · 0.11 xG · on targetIliman Ndiaye · Everton · 24′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedDeclan Rice · Arsenal · 45′ · 0.16 xG · on targetBen White · Arsenal · 12′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedLeandro Trossard · Arsenal · 45′ · 0.18 xG · on targetJurriën Timber · Arsenal · 85′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedMartin Ødegaard · Arsenal · 83′ · 0.24 xG · off target or blockedRaheem Sterling · Arsenal · 2′ · 0.29 xG · off target or blockedIliman Ndiaye · Everton · 49′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Everton: 5 shots, 2 on target, 1.12 xG. Arsenal: 14 shots, 5 on target, 1.84 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Iliman Ndiaye · Everton · 49′Leandro Trossard · Arsenal · 34′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Everton 1.12 xG · Arsenal 1.84 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Everton
1Draws
3Arsenal
Arsenal — Everton · Premier League0–0
Arsenal — Everton · Premier League2–1
Everton — Arsenal · Premier League0–1
Arsenal — Everton · Premier League4–0
Everton — Arsenal · Premier League1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Everton favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Arsenal in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Everton31 matchesArsenal31 matches
1.06 goals/matchGoals scored31/31▲ 1.81 goals/match
1.23 goals/matchGoals allowed31/31▲ 0.84 goals/match
1.1 xG/matchExpected goals31/31▲ 1.61 xG/match
10.7 shots/matchShots31/31▲ 14 shots/match
3.61 shots/matchShots on target31/31▲ 4.81 shots/match
39.6%Possession31/31● 56.2%
4.16 corners/matchCorners31/31● 6.52 corners/match
11.7 fouls/matchFouls31/3111.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples31 / 31home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 5 Apr 2025, 15:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsEvertonArsenal
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2024/25
Head-to-headEverton — Arsenal
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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