Premier League · 2024Sat, 5 Apr 2025, 11:30 UTCFull timeHistorical match

Everton

DDDDL

1–1Historical match

Arsenal

LDDWW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Everton	Arsenal
Shots	5 shots/match	14 shots/match▲
Shots on target	2 shots/match	5 shots/match▲
Expected goals	1.09 xG/match	1.79 xG/match▲
Possession	30%	70%●
Corners	3 corners/match	8 corners/match●
Fouls	17 fouls/match	13 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Everton: 5 shots, 2 on target, 1.12 xG. Arsenal: 14 shots, 5 on target, 1.84 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Everton 1.12 xG · Arsenal 1.84 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Arsenal's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Everton, Arsenal. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Arsenal's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Arsenal's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.81 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1 goals/match	1.81 goals/match	1.52 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Everton, Arsenal.

2.69 days▲Rest daysEverton · Arsenal3.7 days

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

Metric	Everton	Arsenal	Baseline
Rest days	2.69 days	3.7 days	—
Matches last 14 days	1 matches	1 matches	—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Everton show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Everton's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

10.7 shots/match▲ShotsEverton · Arsenal14 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Everton	Arsenal	Baseline
Shots	10.7 shots/match	14 shots/match	13.3 shots/match
Shots against	12.7 shots/match	9.55 shots/match	12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Everton

1Draws

3Arsenal

14 Dec 2024Arsenal — Everton · Premier League0–0

19 May 2024Arsenal — Everton · Premier League2–1

17 Sept 2023Everton — Arsenal · Premier League0–1

1 Mar 2023Arsenal — Everton · Premier League4–0

4 Feb 2023Everton — Arsenal · Premier League1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Everton favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Arsenal in 11 · 2 too close

1.06 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 31/31▲1.81 goals/match

1.23 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 31/31▲0.84 goals/match

1.1 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 31/31▲1.61 xG/match

1.27 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 31/31▲0.87 xG/match

10.7 shots/matchShotsseason · 31/31▲14 shots/match

12.7 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 31/31▲9.55 shots/match

3.61 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 31/31▲4.81 shots/match

4.26 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 31/31▲3.23 shots/match

39.6%Possessionseason · 31/31●56.2%

4.16 corners/matchCornersseason · 31/31●6.52 corners/match

6.06 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 31/31▲2.87 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

11.7 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 31/3111.2 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

29%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 31/31▲35%

58%Scoring frequencyseason · 31/31▲84%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Everton7.5

Arsenal77.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Everton17.5

Arsenal74.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Everton64.2

Arsenal94.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Everton72.5

Arsenal37.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Everton77.5

Arsenal42.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Everton17.5

Arsenal87.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Everton32.5

Arsenal67.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Everton31 matchesArsenal31 matches

1.06 goals/matchGoals scored31/31▲1.81 goals/match

1.23 goals/matchGoals allowed31/31▲0.84 goals/match

1.1 xG/matchExpected goals31/31▲1.61 xG/match

10.7 shots/matchShots31/31▲14 shots/match

3.61 shots/matchShots on target31/31▲4.81 shots/match

39.6%Possession31/31●56.2%

4.16 corners/matchCorners31/31●6.52 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11.7 fouls/matchFouls31/3111.2 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Everton16 matchesArsenal16 matches

1.38 goals/matchGoals scored16/16▲1.63 goals/match

1.19 goals/matchGoals allowed16/16▲0.88 goals/match

1.21 xG/matchExpected goals16/16▲1.48 xG/match

11.4 shots/matchShots16/1611.2 shots/match

4.19 shots/match▲Shots on target16/163.81 shots/match

42.6%Possession16/16●55.4%

4.5 corners/matchCorners16/16●5.56 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11.6 fouls/matchFouls16/1611.9 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

2.69 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/13.7 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples31 / 31home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 5 Apr 2025, 15:30 UTC · analysis-v4