Premier League · 2024Sun, 13 Apr 2025, 13:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Chelsea

WWLWD

2–2Full-time recap

Ipswich Town

LLLWL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Chelsea	Ipswich Town
Shots	34 shots/match▲	13 shots/match
Shots on target	9 shots/match▲	4 shots/match
Expected goals	2.27 xG/match▲	1.07 xG/match
Possession	74%●	26%
Corners	15 corners/match●	4 corners/match
Fouls	11 fouls/match	7 fouls/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Chelsea's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Chelsea's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Chelsea's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Chelsea's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.75 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	0.8 goals/match	1.75 goals/match	1.56 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Chelsea show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Chelsea's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

16.5 shots/match▲ShotsChelsea · Ipswich Town9.72 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Chelsea	Ipswich Town	Baseline
Shots	16.5 shots/match	9.72 shots/match	13.3 shots/match
Shots against	10.8 shots/match	16.1 shots/match	12.7 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Chelsea have recorded the higher season possession share.

58.5%●PossessionChelsea · Ipswich Town40.7%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 17.8 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	Chelsea	Ipswich Town	Baseline
Possession	58.5%	40.7%	49.8%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Chelsea

0Draws

1Ipswich Town

30 Dec 2024Ipswich Town — Chelsea · Premier League2–0

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Chelsea favored in 11 of 13 directional metrics · Ipswich Town in 0 · 2 too close

1.75 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 32/321.03 goals/match

1.22 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 32/322.09 goals/match

1.91 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 32/320.95 xG/match

1.35 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 32/322.03 xG/match

16.5 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 32/329.72 shots/match

10.8 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 32/3216.1 shots/match

5.88 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 32/323.5 shots/match

4.44 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 32/325.84 shots/match

58.5%●Possessionseason · 32/3240.7%

6.19 corners/match●Cornersseason · 32/324.03 corners/match

3.59 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 32/326.75 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

11.6 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 32/3211.5 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

25%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 32/326%

81%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 32/3269%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Chelsea92.5

Ipswich Town12.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Chelsea85.8

Ipswich Town12.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Chelsea69.2

Ipswich Town12.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Chelsea77.5

Ipswich Town22.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Chelsea67.5

Ipswich Town62.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Chelsea67.5

Ipswich Town15

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Chelsea80

Ipswich Town25.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Chelsea32 matchesIpswich Town32 matches

1.75 goals/match▲Goals scored32/321.03 goals/match

1.22 goals/match▲Goals allowed32/322.09 goals/match

1.91 xG/match▲Expected goals32/320.95 xG/match

16.5 shots/match▲Shots32/329.72 shots/match

5.88 shots/match▲Shots on target32/323.5 shots/match

58.5%●Possession32/3240.7%

6.19 corners/match●Corners32/324.03 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11.6 fouls/matchFouls32/3211.5 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Chelsea16 matchesIpswich Town16 matches

1.88 goals/match▲Goals scored16/161.25 goals/match

1.06 goals/match▲Goals allowed16/161.94 goals/match

2.06 xG/match▲Expected goals16/160.96 xG/match

18.8 shots/match▲Shots16/168.25 shots/match

6.88 shots/match▲Shots on target16/163.25 shots/match

57.4%●Possession16/1637.1%

6.44 corners/match●Corners16/163.75 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11.5 fouls/matchFouls16/1612.5 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.96 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples32 / 32home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 13 Apr 2025, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4