Premier League · 2024Sat, 26 Apr 2025, 14:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap
12Full-time recap

Fulham

WLWLL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricSouthamptonFulham
Shots7 shots/match26 shots/match
Shots on target3 shots/match5 shots/match
Expected goals0.56 xG/match2.16 xG/match
Possession36%64%
Corners0 corners/match13 corners/match
Fouls10 fouls/match12 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Harry Wilson · Fulham · 54′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedWillian · Fulham · 12′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedCalvin Bassey · Fulham · 31′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMateus Fernandes · Southampton · 68′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRaúl Jiménez · Fulham · 18′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedWillian · Fulham · 35′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRyan Sessegnon · Fulham · 47′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRaúl Jiménez · Fulham · 54′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedWillian · Fulham · 61′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKamaldeen Sulemana · Southampton · 65′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRaúl Jiménez · Fulham · 21′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedKamaldeen Sulemana · Southampton · 51′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAdama Traoré · Fulham · 83′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedKamaldeen Sulemana · Southampton · 33′ · 0.05 xG · on targetAndreas Pereira · Fulham · 40′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedWillian · Fulham · 56′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedSaša Lukić · Fulham · 75′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedKenny Tete · Fulham · 85′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedRoss Stewart · Southampton · 38′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedRaúl Jiménez · Fulham · 43′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedJoachim Andersen · Fulham · 20′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedRaúl Jiménez · Fulham · 45′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedEmile Smith Rowe · Fulham · 85′ · 0.10 xG · on targetRaúl Jiménez · Fulham · 56′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedKyle Walker-Peters · Southampton · 60′ · 0.15 xG · on targetRyan Sessegnon · Fulham · 90′ · 0.15 xG · goalRyan Sessegnon · Fulham · 45′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedJoachim Andersen · Fulham · 56′ · 0.17 xG · on targetEmile Smith Rowe · Fulham · 72′ · 0.18 xG · goalJoachim Andersen · Fulham · 89′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedAlex Iwobi · Fulham · 83′ · 0.23 xG · off target or blockedJack Stephens · Southampton · 14′ · 0.25 xG · goalRaúl Jiménez · Fulham · 87′ · 0.28 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Southampton: 7 shots, 3 on target, 0.62 xG. Fulham: 26 shots, 5 on target, 2.42 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Jack Stephens · Southampton · 14′Emile Smith Rowe · Fulham · 72′Ryan Sessegnon · Fulham · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Southampton 0.62 xG · Fulham 2.42 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Fulham's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Fulham show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Fulham's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

9.41 shots/matchShotsSouthampton · Fulham13.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricSouthamptonFulhamBaseline
Shots9.41 shots/match13.5 shots/match13.3 shots/match
Shots against17.8 shots/match11.2 shots/match12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Southampton
1Draws
2Fulham
FulhamSouthampton · Premier League00
SouthamptonFulham · Premier League02
FulhamSouthampton · Premier League21

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Southampton favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Fulham in 11 · 2 too close

0.74 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 34/341.47 goals/match
2.35 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 34/341.35 goals/match
0.9 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 34/341.31 xG/match
2.3 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 34/341.18 xG/match
9.41 shots/matchShotsseason · 34/3413.5 shots/match
17.8 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 34/3411.2 shots/match
3.09 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 34/344.53 shots/match
6.88 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 34/344.18 shots/match
49.5%Possessionseason · 34/3452.4%
3.94 corners/matchCornersseason · 34/345.62 corners/match
6.15 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 34/344.44 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
12.4 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 34/3411.2 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
6%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 34/3415%
62%Scoring frequencyseason · 34/3485%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Southampton47.5
Fulham62.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Southampton7.5
Fulham47.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Southampton2.5
Fulham68.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Southampton2.5
Fulham52.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Southampton87.5
Fulham47.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Southampton17.5
Fulham57.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Southampton31.2
Fulham52.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Southampton34 matchesFulham34 matches
0.74 goals/matchGoals scored34/341.47 goals/match
2.35 goals/matchGoals allowed34/341.35 goals/match
0.9 xG/matchExpected goals34/341.31 xG/match
9.41 shots/matchShots34/3413.5 shots/match
3.09 shots/matchShots on target34/344.53 shots/match
49.5%Possession34/3452.4%
3.94 corners/matchCorners34/345.62 corners/match
Cards0/0
12.4 fouls/matchFouls34/3411.2 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Southampton17 matchesFulham17 matches
0.71 goals/matchGoals scored17/171.41 goals/match
2.65 goals/matchGoals allowed17/171.24 goals/match
0.97 xG/matchExpected goals17/171.46 xG/match
9.06 shots/matchShots17/1713.5 shots/match
3.24 shots/matchShots on target17/174.12 shots/match
48.5%Possession17/1752.4%
3.18 corners/matchCorners17/175.71 corners/match
Cards0/0
11.6 fouls/matchFouls17/1711.9 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.04 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited
Season samples34 / 34home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 26 Apr 2025, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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