Premier League · 2024Sat, 3 May 2025, 14:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Leicester City

LLDLL

2–0Full-time recap

Southampton

DLLDL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Leicester City	Southampton
Shots	14 shots/match▲	8 shots/match
Shots on target	4 shots/match▲	2 shots/match
Expected goals	1.4 xG/match▲	0.53 xG/match
Possession	50%	50%
Corners	6 corners/match	7 corners/match●
Fouls	12 fouls/match	13 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Leicester City: 14 shots, 4 on target, 1.42 xG. Southampton: 8 shots, 2 on target, 0.55 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Leicester City 1.42 xG · Southampton 0.55 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Southampton's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Southampton's recent record differs from the season

weak

Southampton's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.71 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	0.6 goals/match	0.71 goals/match	1.57 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

3Leicester City

0Draws

2Southampton

19 Oct 2024Southampton — Leicester City · Premier League2–3

23 Apr 2024Leicester City — Southampton · Championship5–0

15 Sept 2023Southampton — Leicester City · Championship1–4

4 Mar 2023Southampton — Leicester City · Premier League1–0

20 Aug 2022Leicester City — Southampton · Premier League1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Leicester City favored in 5 of 13 directional metrics · Southampton in 1 · 7 too close

0.83 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 35/350.71 goals/match

2.17 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 35/352.34 goals/match

0.88 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 35/350.89 xG/match

1.96 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 35/352.28 xG/match

8.91 shots/matchShotsseason · 35/359.37 shots/match

16.7 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 35/3517.7 shots/match

2.91 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 35/353.06 shots/match

5.8 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 35/356.8 shots/match

45.5%Possessionseason · 35/35●49.5%

3.77 corners/matchCornersseason · 35/35●4.03 corners/match

6.23 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 35/356.14 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

10.7 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 35/3512.4 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

6%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 35/356%

54%Scoring frequencyseason · 35/35▲60%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Leicester City22.5

Southampton47.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Leicester City4.2

Southampton5.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Leicester City10

Southampton2.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Leicester City7.5

Southampton2.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Leicester City27.5

Southampton87.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Leicester City7.5

Southampton17.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Leicester City10

Southampton30

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Leicester City35 matchesSouthampton35 matches

0.83 goals/match▲Goals scored35/350.71 goals/match

2.17 goals/match▲Goals allowed35/352.34 goals/match

0.88 xG/matchExpected goals35/350.89 xG/match

8.91 shots/matchShots35/359.37 shots/match

2.91 shots/matchShots on target35/353.06 shots/match

45.5%Possession35/35●49.5%

3.77 corners/matchCorners35/35●4.03 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

10.7 fouls/matchFouls35/3512.4 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Leicester City18 matchesSouthampton18 matches

0.72 goals/matchGoals scored18/180.72 goals/match

1.89 goals/match▲Goals allowed18/182.06 goals/match

0.9 xG/match▲Expected goals18/180.82 xG/match

9.22 shots/matchShots18/189.67 shots/match

2.89 shots/matchShots on target18/182.89 shots/match

48.9%Possession18/18●50.4%

4.22 corners/matchCorners18/18●4.83 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

10.6 fouls/matchFouls18/1813.1 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples35 / 35home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 3 May 2025, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4