Premier League · 2024Sat, 3 May 2025, 14:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Everton

LDWLL

2–2Full-time recap

Ipswich Town

WLDLL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Everton	Ipswich Town
Shots	8 shots/match	12 shots/match▲
Shots on target	3 shots/match	5 shots/match▲
Expected goals	0.55 xG/match	0.85 xG/match▲
Possession	58%●	42%
Corners	2 corners/match	3 corners/match●
Fouls	12 fouls/match	15 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Everton: 8 shots, 3 on target, 0.55 xG. Ipswich Town: 12 shots, 5 on target, 0.86 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Everton 0.55 xG · Ipswich Town 0.86 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Everton's last-five shots average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Ipswich Town's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Everton's recent record differs from the season

weak

Everton's last-five shots average is below their season average.

8 shots/match▲ShotsLast 5 · Season10.5 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Shots	8 shots/match	10.5 shots/match	13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Ipswich Town show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Ipswich Town's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

10.5 shots/match▲ShotsEverton · Ipswich Town9.46 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Everton	Ipswich Town	Baseline
Shots	10.5 shots/match	9.46 shots/match	13.3 shots/match
Shots against	12.5 shots/match	16.4 shots/match	12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Everton

0Draws

0Ipswich Town

19 Oct 2024Ipswich Town — Everton · Premier League0–2

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Everton favored in 9 of 13 directional metrics · Ipswich Town in 1 · 3 too close

1.03 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 35/351 goals/match

1.23 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 35/352.17 goals/match

1.07 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 35/350.9 xG/match

1.25 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 35/352.03 xG/match

10.5 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 35/359.46 shots/match

12.5 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 35/3516.4 shots/match

3.6 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 35/353.34 shots/match

4.46 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 35/355.77 shots/match

40.7%●Possessionseason · 35/3539.7%

4.06 corners/match●Cornersseason · 35/353.83 corners/match

5.91 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 35/356.89 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

11.6 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 35/3511.5 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

29%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 35/356%

57%Scoring frequencyseason · 35/35▲66%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Everton12.5

Ipswich Town2.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Everton17.5

Ipswich Town12.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Everton55.8

Ipswich Town13.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Everton57.5

Ipswich Town17.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Everton72.5

Ipswich Town62.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Everton27.5

Ipswich Town12.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Everton33.8

Ipswich Town25

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Everton35 matchesIpswich Town35 matches

1.03 goals/matchGoals scored35/351 goals/match

1.23 goals/match▲Goals allowed35/352.17 goals/match

1.07 xG/match▲Expected goals35/350.9 xG/match

10.5 shots/match▲Shots35/359.46 shots/match

3.6 shots/match▲Shots on target35/353.34 shots/match

40.7%●Possession35/3539.7%

4.06 corners/match●Corners35/353.83 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11.6 fouls/matchFouls35/3511.5 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Everton18 matchesIpswich Town18 matches

1.33 goals/match▲Goals scored18/181.22 goals/match

1.28 goals/match▲Goals allowed18/182 goals/match

1.16 xG/match▲Expected goals18/180.91 xG/match

11.1 shots/match▲Shots18/188.22 shots/match

4.06 shots/match▲Shots on target18/183.17 shots/match

42.9%●Possession18/1836.6%

4.22 corners/match●Corners18/183.61 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11.4 fouls/matchFouls18/1812.4 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.1 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples35 / 35home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 3 May 2025, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4