PitchMath
Premier League · 2024

Everton 2–2 Ipswich Town · Premier League

Everton

LDWLL
2–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Everton and Ipswich Town drew 2–2.

Shots
812
Shots on target
35
Expected goals
0.550.85
Possession
58%42%

Full time

What the match recorded

Everton and Ipswich Town drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (Everton – Ipswich Town): shots 8–12, shots on target 3–5, expected goals 0.55–0.85, possession 58%–42%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Everton's recent record differs from the season

weak

Everton's last-five shots average is below their season average.

8 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season10.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots8 shots/match10.5 shots/match13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Ipswich Town show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Ipswich Town's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

10.5 shots/match ▲ShotsEverton · Ipswich Town9.46 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricEvertonIpswich TownBaseline
Shots10.5 shots/match9.46 shots/match13.3 shots/match
Shots against12.5 shots/match16.4 shots/match12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots8 shots12 shotsEverton 8 shots, Ipswich Town 12 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots5 shotsEverton 3 shots, Ipswich Town 5 shots
  • Expected goals0.55 xG0.85 xGEverton 0.55 xG, Ipswich Town 0.85 xG
  • Possession58%42%Everton 58%, Ipswich Town 42%
  • Corners2 corners3 cornersEverton 2 corners, Ipswich Town 3 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls15 foulsEverton 12 fouls, Ipswich Town 15 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Kalvin Phillips · Ipswich Town · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedBeto · Everton · 12′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJulio Enciso · Ipswich Town · 20′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJulio Enciso · Ipswich Town · 41′ · 0.02 xG · goalDara O'Shea · Ipswich Town · 44′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedIliman Ndiaye · Everton · 25′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDwight McNeil · Everton · 35′ · 0.03 xG · goalLiam Delap · Ipswich Town · 4′ · 0.04 xG · on targetOmari Hutchinson · Ipswich Town · 20′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJulio Enciso · Ipswich Town · 37′ · 0.04 xG · on targetJulio Enciso · Ipswich Town · 58′ · 0.05 xG · on targetDominic Calvert-Lewin · Everton · 89′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedBeto · Everton · 14′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedBeto · Everton · 39′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedJulio Enciso · Ipswich Town · 76′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedBeto · Everton · 8′ · 0.11 xG · on targetJulio Enciso · Ipswich Town · 39′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedLiam Delap · Ipswich Town · 15′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedBeto · Everton · 26′ · 0.18 xG · goalGeorge Hirst · Ipswich Town · 79′ · 0.27 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Everton: 8 shots, 3 on target, 0.55 xG. Ipswich Town: 12 shots, 5 on target, 0.86 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Beto · Everton · 26′Dwight McNeil · Everton · 35′Julio Enciso · Ipswich Town · 41′George Hirst · Ipswich Town · 79′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Everton 0.55 xG · Ipswich Town 0.86 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Everton
0Draws
0Ipswich Town
Ipswich Town — Everton · Premier League0–2

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Everton favored in 9 of 11 directional metrics · Ipswich Town in 1 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Everton35 matchesIpswich Town35 matches
1.03 goals/matchGoals scored35/351 goal/match
1.23 goals/match ▲Goals allowed35/352.17 goals/match
1.07 xG/match ▲Expected goals35/350.9 xG/match
10.5 shots/match ▲Shots35/359.46 shots/match
3.6 shots/match ▲Shots on target35/353.34 shots/match
40.7% ●Possession35/3539.7%
4.06 corners/match ●Corners35/353.83 corners/match
11.6 fouls/matchFouls35/3511.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples35 / 35home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 3 May 2025, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsEvertonIpswich Town
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2024/25
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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