PitchMath
Premier League · 2024

Ipswich Town 0–1 Brentford · Premier League

0–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Brentford won 0–1.

Shots
1115
Shots on target
45
Expected goals
0.931.41
Possession
50%50%

Full time

What the match recorded

Brentford beat Ipswich Town 1–0. Recorded in this match (Ipswich Town – Brentford): shots 11–15, shots on target 4–5, expected goals 0.93–1.41, possession 50%–50%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Brentford's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Brentford's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.75 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.4 goals/match1.75 goals/match1.54 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots15 shotsIpswich Town 11 shots, Brentford 15 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots5 shotsIpswich Town 4 shots, Brentford 5 shots
  • Expected goals0.93 xG1.41 xGIpswich Town 0.93 xG, Brentford 1.41 xG
  • Possession50%50%Ipswich Town 50%, Brentford 50%
  • Corners5 corners6 cornersIpswich Town 5 corners, Brentford 6 corners
  • Fouls6 fouls12 foulsIpswich Town 6 fouls, Brentford 12 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Julio Enciso · Ipswich Town · 20′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJack Taylor · Ipswich Town · 39′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedBryan Mbeumo · Brentford · 66′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJulio Enciso · Ipswich Town · 85′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLiam Delap · Ipswich Town · 2′ · 0.03 xG · on targetJack Taylor · Ipswich Town · 29′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedBryan Mbeumo · Brentford · 45′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedOmari Hutchinson · Ipswich Town · 82′ · 0.03 xG · on targetMikkel Damsgaard · Brentford · 47′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedBryan Mbeumo · Brentford · 70′ · 0.04 xG · on targetJacob Greaves · Ipswich Town · 74′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMikkel Damsgaard · Brentford · 45′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedYoane Wissa · Brentford · 53′ · 0.07 xG · on targetSam Morsy · Ipswich Town · 79′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedBryan Mbeumo · Brentford · 32′ · 0.09 xG · on targetYoane Wissa · Brentford · 47′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedYoane Wissa · Brentford · 70′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedKevin Schade · Brentford · 18′ · 0.12 xG · goalSepp van den Berg · Brentford · 36′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedYoane Wissa · Brentford · 59′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedMichael Kayode · Brentford · 62′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedYoane Wissa · Brentford · 66′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedGeorge Hirst · Ipswich Town · 80′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedGeorge Hirst · Ipswich Town · 90′ · 0.16 xG · on targetKevin Schade · Brentford · 62′ · 0.20 xG · on targetCameron Burgess · Ipswich Town · 90′ · 0.35 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Ipswich Town: 11 shots, 4 on target, 0.93 xG. Brentford: 15 shots, 5 on target, 1.39 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Kevin Schade · Brentford · 18′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Ipswich Town 0.93 xG · Brentford 1.39 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Ipswich Town
0Draws
1Brentford
Brentford — Ipswich Town · Premier League4–3

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Ipswich Town favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Brentford in 10 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Ipswich Town36 matchesBrentford36 matches
0.97 goals/matchGoals scored36/36▲ 1.75 goals/match
2.14 goals/matchGoals allowed36/36▲ 1.47 goals/match
0.9 xG/matchExpected goals36/36▲ 1.56 xG/match
9.5 shots/matchShots36/36▲ 11.5 shots/match
3.36 shots/matchShots on target36/36▲ 4.72 shots/match
40%Possession36/36● 47.6%
3.86 corners/matchCorners36/36● 4.58 corners/match
11.3 fouls/matchFouls36/368.31 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples36 / 36home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 10 May 2025, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsIpswich TownBrentford
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2024/25
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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