Premier League · 2024Sat, 10 May 2025, 14:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Wolverhampton

WWWWL

0–2Full-time recap

Brighton & Hove Albion

LDLWD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Wolverhampton	Brighton & Hove Albion
Shots	10 shots/match▲	7 shots/match
Shots on target	3 shots/match▲	2 shots/match
Expected goals	0.91 xG/match	1.57 xG/match▲
Possession	56%●	44%
Corners	7 corners/match●	4 corners/match
Fouls	8 fouls/match	12 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Wolverhampton: 10 shots, 3 on target, 0.90 xG. Brighton & Hove Albion: 7 shots, 2 on target, 1.58 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Wolverhampton 0.90 xG · Brighton & Hove Albion 1.58 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Brighton & Hove Albion's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Wolverhampton's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Brighton & Hove Albion's recent record differs from the season

weak

Brighton & Hove Albion's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.64 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	2 goals/match	1.64 goals/match	1.54 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Wolverhampton show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Wolverhampton's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

11.1 shots/match▲ShotsWolverhampton · Brighton & Hove Albion13.5 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Wolverhampton	Brighton & Hove Albion	Baseline
Shots	11.1 shots/match	13.5 shots/match	13.4 shots/match
Shots against	12.4 shots/match	11.3 shots/match	12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Wolverhampton

2Draws

3Brighton & Hove Albion

26 Oct 2024Brighton & Hove Albion — Wolverhampton · Premier League2–2

22 Jan 2024Brighton & Hove Albion — Wolverhampton · Premier League0–0

19 Aug 2023Wolverhampton — Brighton & Hove Albion · Premier League1–4

29 Apr 2023Brighton & Hove Albion — Wolverhampton · Premier League6–0

5 Nov 2022Wolverhampton — Brighton & Hove Albion · Premier League2–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Wolverhampton favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Brighton & Hove Albion in 10 · 3 too close

1.42 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 36/36▲1.64 goals/match

1.78 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 36/36▲1.56 goals/match

1.17 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 36/36▲1.53 xG/match

1.54 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 36/36▲1.41 xG/match

11.1 shots/matchShotsseason · 36/36▲13.5 shots/match

12.4 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 36/36▲11.3 shots/match

4.19 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 36/36▲4.75 shots/match

4.36 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 36/36▲3.94 shots/match

47.5%Possessionseason · 36/36●52.3%

3.64 corners/matchCornersseason · 36/36●4.83 corners/match

5.94 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 36/36▲4.92 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

12.9 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 36/3611.7 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

22%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 36/3622%

81%Scoring frequencyseason · 36/36▲86%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Wolverhampton27.5

Brighton & Hove Albion62.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Wolverhampton30

Brighton & Hove Albion60.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Wolverhampton39.2

Brighton & Hove Albion60.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Wolverhampton12.5

Brighton & Hove Albion47.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Wolverhampton92.5

Brighton & Hove Albion82.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Wolverhampton2.5

Brighton & Hove Albion47.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Wolverhampton36.2

Brighton & Hove Albion62.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Wolverhampton36 matchesBrighton & Hove Albion36 matches

1.42 goals/matchGoals scored36/36▲1.64 goals/match

1.78 goals/matchGoals allowed36/36▲1.56 goals/match

1.17 xG/matchExpected goals36/36▲1.53 xG/match

11.1 shots/matchShots36/36▲13.5 shots/match

4.19 shots/matchShots on target36/36▲4.75 shots/match

47.5%Possession36/36●52.3%

3.64 corners/matchCorners36/36●4.83 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

12.9 fouls/matchFouls36/3611.7 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Wolverhampton18 matchesBrighton & Hove Albion18 matches

1.44 goals/matchGoals scored18/18▲1.78 goals/match

1.72 goals/matchGoals allowed18/181.78 goals/match

1.27 xG/matchExpected goals18/18▲1.46 xG/match

11 shots/matchShots18/18▲12.2 shots/match

4.22 shots/matchShots on target18/18▲4.78 shots/match

48.2%Possession18/18●51.8%

3.67 corners/matchCorners18/18●4.78 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

12.5 fouls/matchFouls18/1811.6 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.79 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.04 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples36 / 36home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 10 May 2025, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4