PitchMath
Premier League · 2024

Wolverhampton 0–2 Brighton & Hove Albion · Premier League

0–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Brighton & Hove Albion won 0–2.

Shots
107
Shots on target
32
Expected goals
0.911.57
Possession
56%44%

Full time

What the match recorded

Brighton & Hove Albion beat Wolverhampton 2–0. Recorded in this match (Wolverhampton – Brighton & Hove Albion): shots 10–7, shots on target 3–2, expected goals 0.91–1.57, possession 56%–44%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Brighton & Hove Albion's recent record differs from the season

weak

Brighton & Hove Albion's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.64 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1.64 goals/match1.54 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Wolverhampton show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Wolverhampton's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

11.1 shots/match ▲ShotsWolverhampton · Brighton & Hove Albion13.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricWolverhamptonBrighton & Hove AlbionBaseline
Shots11.1 shots/match13.5 shots/match13.4 shots/match
Shots against12.4 shots/match11.3 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots7 shotsWolverhampton 10 shots, Brighton & Hove Albion 7 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots2 shotsWolverhampton 3 shots, Brighton & Hove Albion 2 shots
  • Expected goals0.91 xG1.57 xGWolverhampton 0.91 xG, Brighton & Hove Albion 1.57 xG
  • Possession56%44%Wolverhampton 56%, Brighton & Hove Albion 44%
  • Corners7 corners4 cornersWolverhampton 7 corners, Brighton & Hove Albion 4 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls12 foulsWolverhampton 8 fouls, Brighton & Hove Albion 12 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Rayan Aït-Nouri · Wolverhampton · 44′ · 0.01 xG · on targetYankuba Minteh · Brighton & Hove Albion · 13′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMatheus Cunha · Wolverhampton · 33′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMarshall Munetsi · Wolverhampton · 43′ · 0.02 xG · on targetYasin Ayari · Brighton & Hove Albion · 26′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMarshall Munetsi · Wolverhampton · 45′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMarshall Munetsi · Wolverhampton · 12′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedSimon Adingra · Brighton & Hove Albion · 65′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMatt O'Riley · Brighton & Hove Albion · 46′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedMatheus Cunha · Wolverhampton · 57′ · 0.08 xG · on targetJean-Ricner Bellegarde · Wolverhampton · 82′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedBrajan Gruda · Brighton & Hove Albion · 63′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedMarshall Munetsi · Wolverhampton · 36′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedGonçalo Guedes · Wolverhampton · 8′ · 0.23 xG · off target or blockedGonçalo Guedes · Wolverhampton · 7′ · 0.29 xG · off target or blockedBrajan Gruda · Brighton & Hove Albion · 85′ · 0.49 xG · goalDanny Welbeck · Brighton & Hove Albion · 29′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Wolverhampton: 10 shots, 3 on target, 0.90 xG. Brighton & Hove Albion: 7 shots, 2 on target, 1.58 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Danny Welbeck · Brighton & Hove Albion · 29′Brajan Gruda · Brighton & Hove Albion · 85′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Wolverhampton 0.90 xG · Brighton & Hove Albion 1.58 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Wolverhampton
2Draws
3Brighton & Hove Albion
Brighton & Hove Albion — Wolverhampton · Premier League2–2
Brighton & Hove Albion — Wolverhampton · Premier League0–0
Wolverhampton — Brighton & Hove Albion · Premier League1–4
Brighton & Hove Albion — Wolverhampton · Premier League6–0
Wolverhampton — Brighton & Hove Albion · Premier League2–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Wolverhampton favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Brighton & Hove Albion in 10 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Wolverhampton36 matchesBrighton & Hove Albion36 matches
1.42 goals/matchGoals scored36/36▲ 1.64 goals/match
1.78 goals/matchGoals allowed36/36▲ 1.56 goals/match
1.17 xG/matchExpected goals36/36▲ 1.53 xG/match
11.1 shots/matchShots36/36▲ 13.5 shots/match
4.19 shots/matchShots on target36/36▲ 4.75 shots/match
47.5%Possession36/36● 52.3%
3.64 corners/matchCorners36/36● 4.83 corners/match
12.9 fouls/matchFouls36/3611.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples36 / 36home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 10 May 2025, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsWolverhamptonBrighton & Hove Albion
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2024/25
Head-to-headWolverhampton — Brighton & Hove Albion
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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