Premier League · 2024

Manchester City 1–0 Wolverhampton · Premier League

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Manchester City won 1–0.

Shots
96
Shots on target
21
Expected goals
0.650.44
Possession
64%36%

Full time

What the match recorded

Manchester City beat Wolverhampton 1–0. Recorded in this match (Manchester City – Wolverhampton): shots 9–6, shots on target 2–1, expected goals 0.65–0.44, possession 64%–36%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Wolverhampton's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Wolverhampton's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.46 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1.46 goals/match1.56 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Wolverhampton show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Wolverhampton's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

15.7 shots/match ▲ShotsManchester City · Wolverhampton11.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricManchester CityWolverhamptonBaseline
Shots15.7 shots/match11.2 shots/match13.4 shots/match
Shots against9.49 shots/match12.5 shots/match12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Manchester City have recorded the higher season possession share.

61.6% ●PossessionManchester City · Wolverhampton47.3%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 14.3 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricManchester CityWolverhamptonBaseline
Possession61.6%47.3%50.2%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots6 shotsManchester City 9 shots, Wolverhampton 6 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots1 shotManchester City 2 shots, Wolverhampton 1 shot
  • Expected goals0.65 xG0.44 xGManchester City 0.65 xG, Wolverhampton 0.44 xG
  • Possession64%36%Manchester City 64%, Wolverhampton 36%
  • Corners4 corners5 cornersManchester City 4 corners, Wolverhampton 5 corners
  • Fouls7 fouls11 foulsManchester City 7 fouls, Wolverhampton 11 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Rúben Dias · Manchester City · 2′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMateo Kovačić · Manchester City · 33′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedNico O'Reilly · Manchester City · 11′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMateo Kovačić · Manchester City · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMatheus Cunha · Wolverhampton · 56′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMateo Kovačić · Manchester City · 70′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedOmar Marmoush · Manchester City · 21′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAndré · Wolverhampton · 19′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMatheus Cunha · Wolverhampton · 3′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRayan Aït-Nouri · Wolverhampton · 27′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedNélson Semedo · Wolverhampton · 27′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedOmar Marmoush · Manchester City · 68′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedNico O'Reilly · Manchester City · 33′ · 0.12 xG · on targetRayan Aït-Nouri · Wolverhampton · 27′ · 0.17 xG · on targetKevin De Bruyne · Manchester City · 35′ · 0.40 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Manchester City: 9 shots, 2 on target, 0.73 xG. Wolverhampton: 6 shots, 1 on target, 0.43 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Kevin De Bruyne · Manchester City · 35′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Manchester City 0.73 xG · Wolverhampton 0.43 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

4Manchester City
0Draws
1Wolverhampton
Wolverhampton — Manchester City · Premier League1–2
Manchester City — Wolverhampton · Premier League5–1
Wolverhampton — Manchester City · Premier League2–1
Manchester City — Wolverhampton · Premier League3–0
Wolverhampton — Manchester City · Premier League0–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Manchester City favored in 10 of 11 directional metrics · Wolverhampton in 0 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Manchester City35 matchesWolverhampton35 matches
1.91 goals/match ▲Goals scored35/351.46 goals/match
1.23 goals/match ▲Goals allowed35/351.77 goals/match
1.78 xG/match ▲Expected goals35/351.18 xG/match
15.7 shots/match ▲Shots35/3511.2 shots/match
5.77 shots/match ▲Shots on target35/354.23 shots/match
61.6% ●Possession35/3547.3%
6.54 corners/match ●Corners35/353.54 corners/match
7.63 fouls/matchFouls35/3513.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples35 / 35home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 2 May 2025, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

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