PitchMath
Premier League · 2024

Fulham 1–2 Chelsea · Premier League

Fulham

LWLWL
1–2Historical match

Chelsea

WLWDD

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Chelsea won 1–2.

Shots
613
Shots on target
18
Expected goals
0.250.9
Possession
41%59%

Full time

What the match recorded

Chelsea beat Fulham 2–1. Recorded in this match (Fulham – Chelsea): shots 6–13, shots on target 1–8, expected goals 0.25–0.9, possession 41%–59%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Chelsea's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Chelsea's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.76 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match1.76 goals/match1.58 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots6 shots13 shotsFulham 6 shots, Chelsea 13 shots
  • Shots on target1 shot8 shotsFulham 1 shot, Chelsea 8 shots
  • Expected goals0.25 xG0.9 xGFulham 0.25 xG, Chelsea 0.9 xG
  • Possession41%59%Fulham 41%, Chelsea 59%
  • Corners5 corners4 cornersFulham 5 corners, Chelsea 4 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls9 foulsFulham 13 fouls, Chelsea 9 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Malo Gusto · Chelsea · 53′ · 0.02 xG · on targetReece James · Chelsea · 14′ · 0.03 xG · on targetKenny Tete · Fulham · 26′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJadon Sancho · Chelsea · 61′ · 0.03 xG · on targetPedro Neto · Chelsea · 87′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAndreas Pereira · Fulham · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedCole Palmer · Chelsea · 10′ · 0.04 xG · on targetAlex Iwobi · Fulham · 20′ · 0.04 xG · goalAndreas Pereira · Fulham · 86′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedNicolas Jackson · Chelsea · 34′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedKenny Tete · Fulham · 58′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMarc Cucurella · Chelsea · 62′ · 0.05 xG · on targetCole Palmer · Chelsea · 69′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedLevi Colwill · Chelsea · 25′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedKenny Tete · Fulham · 66′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedTyrique George · Chelsea · 83′ · 0.07 xG · goalPedro Neto · Chelsea · 90′ · 0.07 xG · goalPedro Neto · Chelsea · 56′ · 0.17 xG · on targetLevi Colwill · Chelsea · 48′ · 0.24 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Fulham: 6 shots, 1 on target, 0.25 xG. Chelsea: 13 shots, 8 on target, 0.91 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Alex Iwobi · Fulham · 20′Tyrique George · Chelsea · 83′Pedro Neto · Chelsea · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Fulham 0.25 xG · Chelsea 0.91 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Fulham
1Draws
2Chelsea
Chelsea — Fulham · Premier League1–2
Chelsea — Fulham · Premier League1–0
Fulham — Chelsea · Premier League0–2
Chelsea — Fulham · Premier League0–0
Fulham — Chelsea · Premier League2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Fulham favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Chelsea in 8 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Fulham33 matchesChelsea33 matches
1.45 goals/matchGoals scored33/33▲ 1.76 goals/match
1.36 goals/matchGoals allowed33/33▲ 1.21 goals/match
1.29 xG/matchExpected goals33/33▲ 1.88 xG/match
13.2 shots/matchShots33/33▲ 16.4 shots/match
4.52 shots/matchShots on target33/33▲ 5.94 shots/match
52%Possession33/33● 58.5%
5.39 corners/matchCorners33/33● 6.12 corners/match
11.2 fouls/matchFouls33/3311.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples33 / 33home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 20 Apr 2025, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFulhamChelsea
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2024/25
Head-to-headFulham — Chelsea
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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