PitchMath
Premier League · 2024

Manchester United 0–1 Wolverhampton · Premier League

0–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Wolverhampton won 0–1.

Shots
124
Shots on target
22
Expected goals
1.320.25
Possession
60%40%

Full time

What the match recorded

Wolverhampton beat Manchester United 1–0. Recorded in this match (Manchester United – Wolverhampton): shots 12–4, shots on target 2–2, expected goals 1.32–0.25, possession 60%–40%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Wolverhampton's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Wolverhampton's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.45 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1.45 goals/match1.58 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Wolverhampton show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Wolverhampton's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

13.3 shots/match ▲ShotsManchester United · Wolverhampton11.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricManchester UnitedWolverhamptonBaseline
Shots13.3 shots/match11.1 shots/match13.2 shots/match
Shots against11.2 shots/match12.8 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots4 shotsManchester United 12 shots, Wolverhampton 4 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots2 shotsManchester United 2 shots, Wolverhampton 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.32 xG0.25 xGManchester United 1.32 xG, Wolverhampton 0.25 xG
  • Possession60%40%Manchester United 60%, Wolverhampton 40%
  • Corners9 corners2 cornersManchester United 9 corners, Wolverhampton 2 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls18 foulsManchester United 11 fouls, Wolverhampton 18 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Nélson Semedo · Wolverhampton · 22′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKobbie Mainoo · Manchester United · 44′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAlejandro Garnacho · Manchester United · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPatrick Dorgu · Manchester United · 47′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedBruno Fernandes · Manchester United · 73′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMatheus Cunha · Wolverhampton · 82′ · 0.03 xG · on targetChristian Eriksen · Manchester United · 34′ · 0.04 xG · on targetChristian Eriksen · Manchester United · 36′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedBruno Fernandes · Manchester United · 72′ · 0.04 xG · on targetBruno Fernandes · Manchester United · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRasmus Højlund · Manchester United · 46′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedPablo Sarabia · Wolverhampton · 77′ · 0.09 xG · goalJørgen Strand Larsen · Wolverhampton · 57′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedMason Mount · Manchester United · 83′ · 0.24 xG · off target or blockedMason Mount · Manchester United · 86′ · 0.25 xG · off target or blockedBruno Fernandes · Manchester United · 73′ · 0.46 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Manchester United: 12 shots, 2 on target, 1.29 xG. Wolverhampton: 4 shots, 2 on target, 0.24 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Pablo Sarabia · Wolverhampton · 77′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Manchester United 1.29 xG · Wolverhampton 0.24 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

4Manchester United
0Draws
1Wolverhampton
Wolverhampton — Manchester United · Premier League2–0
Wolverhampton — Manchester United · Premier League3–4
Manchester United — Wolverhampton · Premier League1–0
Manchester United — Wolverhampton · Premier League2–0
Wolverhampton — Manchester United · Premier League0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Manchester United favored in 8 of 11 directional metrics · Wolverhampton in 2 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Manchester United33 matchesWolverhampton33 matches
1.15 goals/matchGoals scored33/33▲ 1.45 goals/match
1.39 goals/match ▲Goals allowed33/331.85 goals/match
1.33 xG/match ▲Expected goals33/331.17 xG/match
13.3 shots/match ▲Shots33/3311.1 shots/match
4.48 shots/matchShots on target33/334.27 shots/match
52.9% ●Possession33/3347.3%
5.15 corners/match ●Corners33/333.48 corners/match
10.7 fouls/matchFouls33/3313.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples33 / 33home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 20 Apr 2025, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsManchester UnitedWolverhampton
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2024/25
Head-to-headManchester United — Wolverhampton
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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