PitchMath
Premier League · 2024

Bournemouth 1–0 Fulham · Premier League

1–0Historical match

Fulham

WLWLW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Bournemouth won 1–0.

Shots
1212
Shots on target
37
Expected goals
1.461.07
Possession
41%59%

Full time

What the match recorded

Bournemouth beat Fulham 1–0. Recorded in this match (Bournemouth – Fulham): shots 12–12, shots on target 3–7, expected goals 1.46–1.07, possession 41%–59%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Fulham's recent record differs from the season

weak

Fulham's last-five shots average is below their season average.

10.4 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season13.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots10.4 shots/match13.4 shots/match13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots12 shotsBournemouth 12 shots, Fulham 12 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots7 shotsBournemouth 3 shots, Fulham 7 shots
  • Expected goals1.46 xG1.07 xGBournemouth 1.46 xG, Fulham 1.07 xG
  • Possession41%59%Bournemouth 41%, Fulham 59%
  • Corners6 corners9 cornersBournemouth 6 corners, Fulham 9 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls10 foulsBournemouth 11 fouls, Fulham 10 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Evanilson · Bournemouth · 62′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedEvanilson · Bournemouth · 7′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedEvanilson · Bournemouth · 26′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAlex Scott · Bournemouth · 26′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAlex Scott · Bournemouth · 54′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJoachim Andersen · Fulham · 20′ · 0.05 xG · on targetSaša Lukić · Fulham · 32′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedTom Cairney · Fulham · 75′ · 0.05 xG · on targetRodrigo Muniz · Fulham · 32′ · 0.06 xG · on targetAlex Iwobi · Fulham · 18′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedLewis Cook · Bournemouth · 27′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedRyan Sessegnon · Fulham · 32′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedAlex Iwobi · Fulham · 66′ · 0.08 xG · on targetSaša Lukić · Fulham · 70′ · 0.08 xG · on targetTyler Adams · Bournemouth · 27′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedAlex Scott · Bournemouth · 45′ · 0.09 xG · on targetRodrigo Muniz · Fulham · 31′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedAntoine Semenyo · Bournemouth · 1′ · 0.12 xG · goalRodrigo Muniz · Fulham · 34′ · 0.12 xG · on targetRyan Sessegnon · Fulham · 32′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedRyan Sessegnon · Fulham · 37′ · 0.18 xG · on targetDango Ouattara · Bournemouth · 32′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedTyler Adams · Bournemouth · 55′ · 0.32 xG · on targetEvanilson · Bournemouth · 17′ · 0.49 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Bournemouth: 12 shots, 3 on target, 1.49 xG. Fulham: 12 shots, 7 on target, 1.07 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Antoine Semenyo · Bournemouth · 1′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Bournemouth 1.49 xG · Fulham 1.07 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Bournemouth
2Draws
1Fulham
Fulham — Bournemouth · Premier League2–2
Fulham — Bournemouth · Premier League3–1
Bournemouth — Fulham · Premier League3–0
Bournemouth — Fulham · Premier League2–1
Fulham — Bournemouth · Premier League2–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Bournemouth favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · Fulham in 4 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Bournemouth32 matchesFulham32 matches
1.63 goals/match ▲Goals scored32/321.47 goals/match
1.25 goals/match ▲Goals allowed32/321.34 goals/match
1.84 xG/match ▲Expected goals32/321.32 xG/match
15.8 shots/match ▲Shots32/3213.4 shots/match
5.59 shots/match ▲Shots on target32/324.63 shots/match
47.3%Possession32/32● 52.4%
6.19 corners/match ●Corners32/325.41 corners/match
13.6 fouls/matchFouls32/3211.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples32 / 32home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 14 Apr 2025, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBournemouthFulham
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2024/25
Head-to-headBournemouth — Fulham
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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