Premier League · 2024Sat, 19 Apr 2025, 14:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Crystal Palace

WDWLL

0–0Full-time recap

Bournemouth

DLLDW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Crystal Palace	Bournemouth
Shots	5 shots/match	15 shots/match▲
Shots on target	0 shots/match	4 shots/match▲
Expected goals	0.37 xG/match	0.72 xG/match▲
Possession	27%	73%●
Corners	5 corners/match●	4 corners/match
Fouls	13 fouls/match	10 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Crystal Palace: 5 shots, 0 on target, 0.36 xG. Bournemouth: 15 shots, 4 on target, 0.75 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Crystal Palace 0.36 xG · Bournemouth 0.75 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Crystal Palace's last-five shots average is below their season average. A second useful context is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Crystal Palace. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Crystal Palace's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Crystal Palace's last-five shots average is below their season average.

8.2 shots/match▲ShotsLast 5 · Season13.2 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Shots	8.2 shots/match	13.2 shots/match	13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Crystal Palace.

2.81 days▲Rest daysCrystal Palace · Bournemouth4.79 days

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

Metric	Crystal Palace	Bournemouth	Baseline
Rest days	2.81 days	4.79 days	—
Matches last 14 days	3 matches	2 matches	—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

2Crystal Palace

1Draws

2Bournemouth

26 Dec 2024Bournemouth — Crystal Palace · Premier League0–0

2 Apr 2024Bournemouth — Crystal Palace · Premier League1–0

6 Dec 2023Crystal Palace — Bournemouth · Premier League0–2

13 May 2023Crystal Palace — Bournemouth · Premier League2–0

31 Dec 2022Bournemouth — Crystal Palace · Premier League0–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Crystal Palace favored in 2 of 13 directional metrics · Bournemouth in 6 · 5 too close

1.24 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 33/33▲1.58 goals/match

1.36 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 33/33▲1.21 goals/match

1.5 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 33/33▲1.81 xG/match

1.34 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 33/331.28 xG/match

13.2 shots/matchShotsseason · 33/33▲15.8 shots/match

12.8 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 33/3312.8 shots/match

4.64 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 33/33▲5.55 shots/match

4.18 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 33/334.67 shots/match

43.1%Possessionseason · 33/33●48%

4.55 corners/matchCornersseason · 33/33●6.12 corners/match

5.55 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 33/33▲5.09 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

11.1 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 33/3313.5 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

30%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 33/3324%

76%Scoring frequencyseason · 33/3379%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Crystal Palace17.5

Bournemouth42.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Crystal Palace43.3

Bournemouth70.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Crystal Palace54.2

Bournemouth51.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Crystal Palace87.5

Bournemouth97.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Crystal Palace47.5

Bournemouth97.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Crystal Palace42.5

Bournemouth67.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Crystal Palace46.9

Bournemouth82.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Crystal Palace33 matchesBournemouth33 matches

1.24 goals/matchGoals scored33/33▲1.58 goals/match

1.36 goals/matchGoals allowed33/33▲1.21 goals/match

1.5 xG/matchExpected goals33/33▲1.81 xG/match

13.2 shots/matchShots33/33▲15.8 shots/match

4.64 shots/matchShots on target33/33▲5.55 shots/match

43.1%Possession33/33●48%

4.55 corners/matchCorners33/33●6.12 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11.1 fouls/matchFouls33/3313.5 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Crystal Palace17 matchesBournemouth17 matches

1.12 goals/matchGoals scored17/17▲1.88 goals/match

1.35 goals/match▲Goals allowed17/171.53 goals/match

1.59 xG/matchExpected goals17/17▲1.82 xG/match

14 shots/matchShots17/1714.7 shots/match

4.65 shots/matchShots on target17/17▲5.35 shots/match

42.8%Possession17/17●48.7%

4.71 corners/matchCorners17/17●6.12 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

10.6 fouls/matchFouls17/1713.3 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

2.81 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/14.79 days

3 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples33 / 33home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 19 Apr 2025, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4