Premier League · 2024Sat, 26 Apr 2025, 14:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Newcastle United

WWWWL

3–0Full-time recap

Ipswich Town

LWLDL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Newcastle United	Ipswich Town
Shots	25 shots/match▲	4 shots/match
Shots on target	5 shots/match▲	0 shots/match
Expected goals	3.05 xG/match▲	0.12 xG/match
Possession	78%●	22%
Corners	11 corners/match●	2 corners/match
Fouls	9 fouls/match	9 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Newcastle United: 25 shots, 5 on target, 2.84 xG. Ipswich Town: 4 shots, 0 on target, 0.10 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Newcastle United 2.84 xG · Ipswich Town 0.10 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Newcastle United's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Newcastle United's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Newcastle United's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Newcastle United's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

3.2 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.91 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	3.2 goals/match	1.91 goals/match	1.58 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Newcastle United show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Newcastle United's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.6 shots/match▲ShotsNewcastle United · Ipswich Town9.38 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Newcastle United	Ipswich Town	Baseline
Shots	13.6 shots/match	9.38 shots/match	13.3 shots/match
Shots against	12.6 shots/match	16.6 shots/match	12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Newcastle United.

6.9 days▲Rest daysNewcastle United · Ipswich Town6.04 days

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

Metric	Newcastle United	Ipswich Town	Baseline
Rest days	6.9 days	6.04 days	—
Matches last 14 days	3 matches	2 matches	—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Newcastle United

0Draws

0Ipswich Town

21 Dec 2024Ipswich Town — Newcastle United · Premier League0–4

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Newcastle United favored in 11 of 13 directional metrics · Ipswich Town in 0 · 2 too close

1.91 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 34/340.97 goals/match

1.29 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 34/342.18 goals/match

1.73 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 34/340.9 xG/match

1.28 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 34/342.07 xG/match

13.6 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 34/349.38 shots/match

12.6 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 34/3416.6 shots/match

4.44 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 34/343.29 shots/match

4.38 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 34/345.85 shots/match

50.9%●Possessionseason · 34/3439.7%

5.65 corners/match●Cornersseason · 34/343.85 corners/match

5.26 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 34/347.03 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

10.4 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 34/3411.4 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

35%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 34/346%

85%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 34/3465%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Newcastle United52.5

Ipswich Town7.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Newcastle United62.5

Ipswich Town10.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Newcastle United56.7

Ipswich Town14.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Newcastle United72.5

Ipswich Town12.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Newcastle United12.5

Ipswich Town62.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Newcastle United62.5

Ipswich Town12.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Newcastle United43.8

Ipswich Town23.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Newcastle United34 matchesIpswich Town34 matches

1.91 goals/match▲Goals scored34/340.97 goals/match

1.29 goals/match▲Goals allowed34/342.18 goals/match

1.73 xG/match▲Expected goals34/340.9 xG/match

13.6 shots/match▲Shots34/349.38 shots/match

4.44 shots/match▲Shots on target34/343.29 shots/match

50.9%●Possession34/3439.7%

5.65 corners/match●Corners34/343.85 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

10.4 fouls/matchFouls34/3411.4 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Newcastle United17 matchesIpswich Town17 matches

2.24 goals/match▲Goals scored17/171.18 goals/match

1.12 goals/match▲Goals allowed17/172 goals/match

1.83 xG/match▲Expected goals17/170.91 xG/match

15.2 shots/match▲Shots17/178 shots/match

4.94 shots/match▲Shots on target17/173.06 shots/match

50.7%●Possession17/1736.2%

6.06 corners/match●Corners17/173.65 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11 fouls/matchFouls17/1712.3 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.9 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.04 days

3 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples34 / 34home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 26 Apr 2025, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4