PitchMath
Premier League · 2024

Chelsea 1–0 Everton · Premier League

Chelsea

LWDDW
1–0Historical match

Everton

DLDWL

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Chelsea won 1–0.

Shots
106
Shots on target
73
Expected goals
0.980.52
Possession
55%45%

Full time

What the match recorded

Chelsea beat Everton 1–0. Recorded in this match (Chelsea – Everton): shots 10–6, shots on target 7–3, expected goals 0.98–0.52, possession 55%–45%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Everton's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Everton's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match1 goal/match1.58 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Chelsea have recorded the higher season possession share.

58.4% ●PossessionChelsea · Everton40.1%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 18.3 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricChelseaEvertonBaseline
Possession58.4%40.1%50.2%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Everton show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Everton's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

16.2 shots/match ▲ShotsChelsea · Everton10.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricChelseaEvertonBaseline
Shots16.2 shots/match10.6 shots/match13.3 shots/match
Shots against10.5 shots/match12.6 shots/match12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots6 shotsChelsea 10 shots, Everton 6 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots3 shotsChelsea 7 shots, Everton 3 shots
  • Expected goals0.98 xG0.52 xGChelsea 0.98 xG, Everton 0.52 xG
  • Possession55%45%Chelsea 55%, Everton 45%
  • Corners10 corners2 cornersChelsea 10 corners, Everton 2 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls10 foulsChelsea 11 fouls, Everton 10 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Noni Madueke · Chelsea · 37′ · 0.03 xG · on targetCarlos Alcaraz · Everton · 54′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedBeto · Everton · 63′ · 0.03 xG · on targetMoisés Caicedo · Chelsea · 68′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMarc Cucurella · Chelsea · 85′ · 0.03 xG · on targetIdrissa Gana Gueye · Everton · 67′ · 0.04 xG · on targetYoussef Chermiti · Everton · 72′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedNoni Madueke · Chelsea · 49′ · 0.05 xG · on targetEnzo Fernández · Chelsea · 33′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedNoni Madueke · Chelsea · 14′ · 0.08 xG · on targetNicolas Jackson · Chelsea · 27′ · 0.10 xG · goalMarc Cucurella · Chelsea · 26′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedDwight McNeil · Everton · 87′ · 0.14 xG · on targetAbdoulaye Doucouré · Everton · 45′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedNoni Madueke · Chelsea · 74′ · 0.18 xG · on targetMarc Cucurella · Chelsea · 75′ · 0.22 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Chelsea: 10 shots, 7 on target, 0.92 xG. Everton: 6 shots, 3 on target, 0.43 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Nicolas Jackson · Chelsea · 27′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Chelsea 0.92 xG · Everton 0.43 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Chelsea
2Draws
1Everton
Everton — Chelsea · Premier League0–0
Chelsea — Everton · Premier League6–0
Everton — Chelsea · Premier League2–0
Chelsea — Everton · Premier League2–2
Everton — Chelsea · Premier League0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Chelsea favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · Everton in 1 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Chelsea34 matchesEverton34 matches
1.74 goals/match ▲Goals scored34/341 goal/match
1.18 goals/matchGoals allowed34/341.21 goals/match
1.85 xG/match ▲Expected goals34/341.08 xG/match
16.2 shots/match ▲Shots34/3410.6 shots/match
5.97 shots/match ▲Shots on target34/343.62 shots/match
58.4% ●Possession34/3440.1%
6.24 corners/match ●Corners34/344.12 corners/match
11.5 fouls/matchFouls34/3411.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples34 / 34home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 26 Apr 2025, 15:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsChelseaEverton
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2024/25
Head-to-headChelsea — Everton
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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