Major League Soccer · 2026Mon, 17 Aug 2026, 02:30 UTCScheduledPre-match analysis
vsPre-match analysis

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Vancouver Whitecaps's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Seattle Sounders FC's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Vancouver Whitecaps show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Vancouver Whitecaps's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.5 shots/matchShotsSeattle Sounders FC · Vancouver Whitecaps17.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricSeattle Sounders FCVancouver WhitecapsBaseline
Shots13.5 shots/match17.5 shots/match13 shots/match
Shots against13.1 shots/match8.33 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Seattle Sounders FC's recent record differs from the season

weak

Seattle Sounders FC's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season1.27 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goals/match1.27 goals/match1.63 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Seattle Sounders FC have a visible home split

moderate

Seattle Sounders FC's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

16 shots/matchShotsHome only · Season13.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots16 shots/match13.5 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Seattle Sounders FC favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · Vancouver Whitecaps in 10 · 4 too close

1.27 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 15/152.47 goals/match
1.27 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 15/151.07 goals/match
1.48 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 12/122.4 xG/match
1.33 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 12/120.97 xG/match
13.5 shots/matchShotsseason · 15/1517.5 shots/match
13.1 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 15/158.33 shots/match
5.33 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 15/156.8 shots/match
4.53 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 15/153 shots/match
52.7%Possessionseason · 15/1554.9%
5.33 corners/matchCornersseason · 15/155.33 corners/match
6.27 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 15/153.27 corners/match
2 cards/matchCardsseason · 3/52.8 cards/match
9.07 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 15/1515.4 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
33%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 15/1533%
80%Scoring frequencyseason · 15/1587%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Seattle Sounders FC70
Vancouver Whitecaps81.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Seattle Sounders FC53.9
Vancouver Whitecaps95
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Seattle Sounders FC55
Vancouver Whitecaps96.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Seattle Sounders FC48.3
Vancouver Whitecaps95
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Seattle Sounders FC13.3
Vancouver Whitecaps81.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 60%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Seattle Sounders FC70
Vancouver Whitecaps70
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Seattle Sounders FC55.4
Vancouver Whitecaps90.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored5/52.2 goals/match
2.6 goals/matchGoals allowed5/52 goals/match
1.61 xG/matchExpected goals5/51.6 xG/match
13.8 shots/matchShots5/516.2 shots/match
5.4 shots/matchShots on target5/56.4 shots/match
53.6%Possession5/555.6%
5 corners/matchCorners5/54 corners/match
Cards0/2
8.8 fouls/matchFouls5/513.4 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.4 goals/matchGoals scored10/102.3 goals/match
1.7 goals/matchGoals allowed10/101.4 goals/match
1.67 xG/matchExpected goals10/102.38 xG/match
14.9 shots/matchShots10/1019.2 shots/match
5.8 shots/matchShots on target10/107.1 shots/match
54.3%Possession10/1053.8%
5.4 corners/matchCorners10/105.5 corners/match
Cards0/2
8.8 fouls/matchFouls10/1015.5 fouls/match

Window

Season

15 / 15 matches
1.27 goals/matchGoals scored15/152.47 goals/match
1.27 goals/matchGoals allowed15/151.07 goals/match
1.48 xG/matchExpected goals12/122.4 xG/match
13.5 shots/matchShots15/1517.5 shots/match
5.33 shots/matchShots on target15/156.8 shots/match
52.7%Possession15/1554.9%
5.33 corners/matchCorners15/155.33 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards3/52.8 cards/match
9.07 fouls/matchFouls15/1515.4 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

7 / 7 matches
1.86 goals/matchGoals scored7/72.29 goals/match
1.71 goals/matchGoals allowed7/71.71 goals/match
1.87 xG/matchExpected goals6/61.79 xG/match
16 shots/matchShots7/716.6 shots/match
6.43 shots/matchShots on target7/76.57 shots/match
52.4%Possession7/756.6%
5.86 corners/matchCorners7/74.14 corners/match
Cards1/33.67 cards/match
7.86 fouls/matchFouls7/714 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

25.1 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/125.1 days
0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited
Season samples15 / 15home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness25 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 17 Aug 2026, 02:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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