Major League Soccer · 2026Mon, 17 Aug 2026, 00:30 UTCScheduledPre-match analysis

Austin FC

DLLLW

vsPre-match analysis

FC Dallas

WLWWD

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: FC Dallas's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: FC Dallas's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

FC Dallas's recent record differs from the season

weak

FC Dallas's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.4 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	2.4 goals/match	2 goals/match	1.63 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

FC Dallas show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

FC Dallas's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

10.2 shots/match▲ShotsAustin FC · FC Dallas11.9 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Austin FC	FC Dallas	Baseline
Shots	10.2 shots/match	11.9 shots/match	13 shots/match
Shots against	17.6 shots/match	10.5 shots/match	12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Austin FC have a visible home split

moderate

Austin FC's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

11.9 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season10.2 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

Metric	Home only	Season	Baseline
Shots	11.9 shots/match	10.2 shots/match	13 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Austin FC favored in 1 of 14 directional metrics · FC Dallas in 9 · 4 too close

1.38 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 16/16▲2 goals/match

2 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 16/16▲1.5 goals/match

0.95 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 13/13▲1.58 xG/match

2.14 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 13/13▲1.3 xG/match

10.2 shots/matchShotsseason · 16/16▲11.9 shots/match

17.6 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 16/16▲10.5 shots/match

4 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 16/16▲4.63 shots/match

6.88 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 16/16▲4.13 shots/match

47.4%Possessionseason · 16/1642.8%

4.31 corners/matchCornersseason · 16/164.31 corners/match

6.31 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 16/16▲5.69 corners/match

2 cards/matchCardsseason · 3/52.2 cards/match

11 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 16/1613.7 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

25%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 16/1619%

81%Scoring frequencyseason · 16/1681%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Austin FC35

FC Dallas5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Austin FC15.5

FC Dallas55.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Austin FC8.9

FC Dallas74.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Austin FC21.7

FC Dallas65

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Austin FC25

FC Dallas58.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 59%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Austin FC16.7

FC Dallas16.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Austin FC13.8

FC Dallas45.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1.2 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲2.4 goals/match

2.6 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1.8 goals/match

0.73 xG/matchExpected goals5/5▲1.71 xG/match

9 shots/matchShots5/5▲10.2 shots/match

3.8 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲4.2 shots/match

47.4%Possession5/538.8%

3.4 corners/matchCorners5/53.8 corners/match

—Cards0/1—

9 fouls/matchFouls5/515 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

1.5 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲1.8 goals/match

2.3 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲1.5 goals/match

0.92 xG/matchExpected goals10/10▲1.47 xG/match

10.1 shots/matchShots10/10▲11.1 shots/match

4.2 shots/matchShots on target10/104.2 shots/match

48.3%Possession10/1041.4%

3.6 corners/matchCorners10/104.3 corners/match

—Cards0/1—

11.3 fouls/matchFouls10/1013.4 fouls/match

Window

Season

16 / 16 matches

1.38 goals/matchGoals scored16/16▲2 goals/match

2 goals/matchGoals allowed16/16▲1.5 goals/match

0.95 xG/matchExpected goals13/13▲1.58 xG/match

10.2 shots/matchShots16/16▲11.9 shots/match

4 shots/matchShots on target16/16▲4.63 shots/match

47.4%Possession16/1642.8%

4.31 corners/matchCorners16/164.31 corners/match

2 cards/matchCards3/52.2 cards/match

11 fouls/matchFouls16/1613.7 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

8 / 7 matches

1.5 goals/matchGoals scored8/7▲2 goals/match

0.88 goals/match▲Goals allowed8/71.14 goals/match

0.98 xG/matchExpected goals6/6▲1.53 xG/match

11.9 shots/matchShots8/711.7 shots/match

5 shots/matchShots on target8/7▲5.43 shots/match

54.1%Possession8/741.3%

5.38 corners/matchCorners8/74.43 corners/match

—Cards2/2—

10.9 fouls/matchFouls8/712.4 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

25 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/124.9 days

0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples16 / 16home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

Freshness25 daysstale at cutoff

At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.

Analysis cutoff: Mon, 17 Aug 2026, 00:30 UTC · analysis-v4