PitchMath
Major League Soccer · 2026

Los Angeles FC 0–1 San Diego FC · Major League Soccer

0–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

San Diego FC won 0–1.

Shots
159
Shots on target
32
Expected goals
0.941.14
Possession
40%60%

Full time

What the match recorded

San Diego FC beat Los Angeles FC 1–0. Recorded in this match (Los Angeles FC – San Diego FC): shots 15–9, shots on target 3–2, expected goals 0.94–1.14, possession 40%–60%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

San Diego FC's recent record differs from the season

moderate

San Diego FC's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.74 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match1.74 goals/match1.55 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

San Diego FC have a visible away split

moderate

San Diego FC's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.44 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season11.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9.44 shots/match11.6 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

San Diego FC have recorded the higher season possession share.

45.6%PossessionLos Angeles FC · San Diego FC● 61.7%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 16.1 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricLos Angeles FCSan Diego FCBaseline
Possession45.6%61.7%49.7%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots9 shotsLos Angeles FC 15 shots, San Diego FC 9 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots2 shotsLos Angeles FC 3 shots, San Diego FC 2 shots
  • Expected goals0.94 xG1.14 xGLos Angeles FC 0.94 xG, San Diego FC 1.14 xG
  • Possession40%60%Los Angeles FC 40%, San Diego FC 60%
  • Corners9 corners7 cornersLos Angeles FC 9 corners, San Diego FC 7 corners
  • Fouls21 fouls12 foulsLos Angeles FC 21 fouls, San Diego FC 12 fouls
  • Yellow cards4 cards4 cardsLos Angeles FC 4 cards, San Diego FC 4 cards
  • Passes398 passes597 passesLos Angeles FC 398 passes, San Diego FC 597 passes
  • Pass accuracy81.7%88.1%Los Angeles FC 81.7%, San Diego FC 88.1%
  • Shots inside box9 shots6 shotsLos Angeles FC 9 shots, San Diego FC 6 shots
  • Blocked shots5 blocks3 blocksLos Angeles FC 5 blocks, San Diego FC 3 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves1 save3 savesLos Angeles FC 1 save, San Diego FC 3 saves
  • Offsides4 offsides4 offsidesLos Angeles FC 4 offsides, San Diego FC 4 offsides

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Gabriel Pirani · San Diego FC · 56′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedSon Heung-min · Los Angeles FC · 5′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedEddie Segura · Los Angeles FC · 36′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAnders Dreyer · San Diego FC · 37′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMarcus Ingvartsen · San Diego FC · 39′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedEddie Segura · Los Angeles FC · 72′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDenis Bouanga · Los Angeles FC · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMark Delgado · Los Angeles FC · 8′ · 0.03 xG · on targetLewis Morgan · San Diego FC · 39′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDenis Bouanga · Los Angeles FC · 52′ · 0.03 xG · on targetLewis Morgan · San Diego FC · 45′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMathieu Choinière · Los Angeles FC · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMarcus Ingvartsen · San Diego FC · 43′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedEddie Segura · Los Angeles FC · 72′ · 0.05 xG · on targetRyan Hollingshead · Los Angeles FC · 82′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedOscar Verhoeven · San Diego FC · 47′ · 0.06 xG · on targetSon Heung-min · Los Angeles FC · 48′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedTimothy Tillman · Los Angeles FC · 64′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedSon Heung-min · Los Angeles FC · 71′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedNkosi Tafari · Los Angeles FC · 90′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedJeppe Tverskov · San Diego FC · 87′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedSon Heung-min · Los Angeles FC · 54′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedRyan Hollingshead · Los Angeles FC · 50′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedAnders Dreyer · San Diego FC · 89′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Los Angeles FC: 15 shots, 3 on target, 0.96 xG. San Diego FC: 9 shots, 2 on target, 1.17 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Anders Dreyer · San Diego FC · 89′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Los Angeles FC 0.96 xG · San Diego FC 1.17 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Los Angeles FC
1Draws
2San Diego FC
San Diego FC — Los Angeles FC · Major League Soccer2–2
Los Angeles FC — San Diego FC · Major League Soccer1–2
San Diego FC — Los Angeles FC · Major League Soccer3–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Los Angeles FC favored in 5 of 13 directional metrics · San Diego FC in 2 · 6 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Los Angeles FC20 matchesSan Diego FC19 matches
1.75 goals/matchGoals scored20/191.74 goals/match
1 goal/match ▲Goals allowed20/191.53 goals/match
1.18 xG/matchExpected goals17/16▲ 1.42 xG/match
13.2 shots/match ▲Shots20/1911.6 shots/match
4.5 shots/matchShots on target20/194.37 shots/match
45.6%Possession20/19● 61.7%
5.7 corners/match ●Corners20/194.89 corners/match
2.5 cards/matchCards4/103.1 cards/match
11.7 fouls/matchFouls20/1910.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples20 / 19home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 16 Aug 2026, 06:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Major League Soccer

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsLos Angeles FCSan Diego FC
CompetitionMajor League Soccer
Head-to-headLos Angeles FC — San Diego FC
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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