Major League Soccer · 2026Sun, 16 Aug 2026, 02:30 UTCScheduledPre-match analysis

Los Angeles FC

LLWWW

vsPre-match analysis

San Diego FC

DWDLL

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: San Diego FC's last-five shots average is above their season average. A second useful context is: San Diego FC's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

San Diego FC's recent record differs from the season

weak

San Diego FC's last-five shots average is above their season average.

13.8 shots/match▲ShotsLast 5 · Season11.2 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Shots	13.8 shots/match	11.2 shots/match	13 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

San Diego FC have a visible away split

moderate

San Diego FC's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season11.2 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

Metric	Away only	Season	Baseline
Shots	9 shots/match	11.2 shots/match	13 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

San Diego FC have recorded the higher season possession share.

46.4%▲PossessionLos Angeles FC · San Diego FC60.8%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 14.3 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	Los Angeles FC	San Diego FC	Baseline
Possession	46.4%	60.8%	49.9%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Los Angeles FC

1Draws

0San Diego FC

3 May 2026San Diego — Los Angeles FC · Major League Soccer2–2

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Los Angeles FC favored in 8 of 14 directional metrics · San Diego FC in 3 · 3 too close

1.76 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 17/16▲1.88 goals/match

1.06 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 17/161.75 goals/match

1.25 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 14/13▲1.43 xG/match

1.24 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 14/131.9 xG/match

13.9 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 17/1611.2 shots/match

12.5 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 17/1613.4 shots/match

4.76 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 17/164.44 shots/match

3.94 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 17/165.44 shots/match

46.4%Possessionseason · 17/1660.8%

5.82 corners/matchCornersseason · 17/164.56 corners/match

5.24 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 17/16▲3.94 corners/match

2 cards/matchCardsseason · 3/82.88 cards/match

11.5 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 17/1611.1 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

59%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 17/1625%

88%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 17/1681%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Los Angeles FC21.7

San Diego FC98.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Los Angeles FC66.1

San Diego FC41.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Los Angeles FC73.9

San Diego FC28.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Los Angeles FC85

San Diego FC1.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Los Angeles FC30

San Diego FC50.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 59%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Los Angeles FC81.7

San Diego FC40

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Los Angeles FC62.5

San Diego FC30

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

2 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲2.2 goals/match

1.2 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.8 goals/match

1.74 xG/match▲Expected goals5/51.61 xG/match

15.6 shots/match▲Shots5/513.8 shots/match

4.8 shots/matchShots on target5/55 shots/match

45.8%Possession5/555.4%

7 corners/matchCorners5/54 corners/match

—Cards0/1—

9 fouls/matchFouls5/59.2 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

1.5 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲1.7 goals/match

1.6 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/102 goals/match

1.25 xG/matchExpected goals10/10▲1.48 xG/match

13.4 shots/match▲Shots10/1012.2 shots/match

4.5 shots/matchShots on target10/104.3 shots/match

45.7%Possession10/1058.8%

5.9 corners/matchCorners10/104.3 corners/match

—Cards0/33.67 cards/match

11.3 fouls/matchFouls10/1010.3 fouls/match

Window

Season

17 / 16 matches

1.76 goals/matchGoals scored17/16▲1.88 goals/match

1.06 goals/match▲Goals allowed17/161.75 goals/match

1.25 xG/matchExpected goals14/13▲1.43 xG/match

13.9 shots/match▲Shots17/1611.2 shots/match

4.76 shots/match▲Shots on target17/164.44 shots/match

46.4%Possession17/1660.8%

5.82 corners/matchCorners17/164.56 corners/match

2 cards/matchCards3/82.88 cards/match

11.5 fouls/matchFouls17/1611.1 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

9 / 7 matches

2 goals/match▲Goals scored9/71 goals/match

1 goals/match▲Goals allowed9/71.86 goals/match

1.19 xG/matchExpected goals7/6▲1.3 xG/match

13.8 shots/match▲Shots9/79 shots/match

4.44 shots/match▲Shots on target9/73.29 shots/match

45.1%Possession9/759.4%

6 corners/matchCorners9/73.86 corners/match

—Cards2/33.33 cards/match

12.1 fouls/matchFouls9/710.9 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

24 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/124 days

0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples17 / 16home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

Freshness24 daysstale at cutoff

At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 16 Aug 2026, 02:30 UTC · analysis-v4