Major League Soccer · 2026Sun, 16 Aug 2026, 01:30 UTCScheduledPre-match analysis
vsPre-match analysis

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Sporting Kansas City's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Colorado Rapids's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Sporting Kansas City's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Sporting Kansas City's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season1.13 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1.13 goals/match1.63 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Colorado Rapids have a visible home split

moderate

Colorado Rapids's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

14.1 shots/matchShotsHome only · Season10.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots14.1 shots/match10.8 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Sporting Kansas City show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Sporting Kansas City's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

10.8 shots/matchShotsColorado Rapids · Sporting Kansas City9.56 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricColorado RapidsSporting Kansas CityBaseline
Shots10.8 shots/match9.56 shots/match13 shots/match
Shots against11.8 shots/match16.6 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Colorado Rapids
0Draws
0Sporting Kansas City
Sporting Kansas CityColorado Rapids · Major League Soccer14

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Colorado Rapids favored in 10 of 14 directional metrics · Sporting Kansas City in 0 · 4 too close

1.63 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 16/161.13 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 16/162.5 goals/match
1.25 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 13/130.95 xG/match
1.45 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 13/131.98 xG/match
10.8 shots/matchShotsseason · 16/169.56 shots/match
11.8 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 16/1616.6 shots/match
4.13 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 16/164.13 shots/match
4.44 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 16/166.06 shots/match
55.4%Possessionseason · 16/1644.3%
4.81 corners/matchCornersseason · 16/163.81 corners/match
4.63 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 16/165.94 corners/match
3.57 cards/matchCardsseason · 7/31.33 cards/match
14.3 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 16/1613.5 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
25%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 16/160%
75%Scoring frequencyseason · 16/1669%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Colorado Rapids85
Sporting Kansas City8.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Colorado Rapids26.7
Sporting Kansas City7.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Colorado Rapids63.9
Sporting Kansas City10
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Colorado Rapids5
Sporting Kansas City25
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Colorado Rapids95
Sporting Kansas City43.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 59%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Colorado Rapids51.7
Sporting Kansas City8.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Colorado Rapids43
Sporting Kansas City26.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
0.8 goals/matchGoals scored5/52 goals/match
1 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51.6 goals/match
0.77 xG/matchExpected goals5/51.49 xG/match
9.4 shots/matchShots5/514.6 shots/match
2.8 shots/matchShots on target5/56.6 shots/match
53.4%Possession5/547.4%
6.4 corners/matchCorners5/55.2 corners/match
Cards2/0
15.8 fouls/matchFouls5/514.6 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.3 goals/matchGoals scored10/101.2 goals/match
1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed10/102.6 goals/match
1.05 xG/matchExpected goals10/101.04 xG/match
9.9 shots/matchShots10/1011.3 shots/match
3.2 shots/matchShots on target10/104.8 shots/match
56.7%Possession10/1043.7%
4.7 corners/matchCorners10/104.2 corners/match
4 cards/matchCards3/0
13.4 fouls/matchFouls10/1014.4 fouls/match

Window

Season

16 / 16 matches
1.63 goals/matchGoals scored16/161.13 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed16/162.5 goals/match
1.25 xG/matchExpected goals13/130.95 xG/match
10.8 shots/matchShots16/169.56 shots/match
4.13 shots/matchShots on target16/164.13 shots/match
55.4%Possession16/1644.3%
4.81 corners/matchCorners16/163.81 corners/match
3.57 cards/matchCards7/31.33 cards/match
14.3 fouls/matchFouls16/1613.5 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

7 / 8 matches
2.29 goals/matchGoals scored7/80.88 goals/match
1.29 goals/matchGoals allowed7/83.13 goals/match
1.44 xG/matchExpected goals5/70.66 xG/match
14.1 shots/matchShots7/88.88 shots/match
5.14 shots/matchShots on target7/82.88 shots/match
56%Possession7/845.4%
5.71 corners/matchCorners7/83.75 corners/match
2.8 cards/matchCards5/1
13.6 fouls/matchFouls7/814.9 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

24 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/124 days
0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited
Season samples16 / 16home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness24 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 16 Aug 2026, 01:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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