Serie B · 2026

Vila Nova FC vs Criciúma · Serie B

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.391.03
Expected goals
1.051.14
Shots
13.414.4
Possession
51.1%54%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: criciúma's last-five shots average is above their season average. Alongside it: vila Nova FC's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Criciúma's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Criciúma's last-five shots average is above their season average.

18.2 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season14.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots18.2 shots/match14.4 shots/match13.7 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Vila Nova FC have a visible home split

moderate

Vila Nova FC's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

16.1 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season13.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots16.1 shots/match13.4 shots/match13.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Vila Nova FC favored in 3 of 13 directional metrics · Criciúma in 9 · 1 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Vila Nova FC33 matchesCriciúma33 matches
1.39 goals/match ▲Goals scored33/331.03 goals/match
0.94 goals/matchGoals allowed33/33▲ 0.85 goals/match
1.05 xG/matchExpected goals32/33▲ 1.14 xG/match
13.4 shots/matchShots31/32▲ 14.4 shots/match
4.06 shots/match ▲Shots on target31/323.78 shots/match
51.1%Possession31/32● 54%
4.9 corners/matchCorners31/32● 6.94 corners/match
15 fouls/matchFouls31/3214.7 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Vila Nova FC
2Draws
3Criciúma
Criciúma — Vila Nova FC · Serie B2–0
Vila Nova FC — Criciúma · Serie B1–1
Criciúma — Vila Nova FC · Serie B1–0
Criciúma — Vila Nova FC · Serie B1–0
Vila Nova FC — Criciúma · Serie B0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples33 / 33home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness27 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 7 Nov 2026, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

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