Serie B · 2026

Athletic Club vs Atlético Goianiense · Serie B

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.191.24
Expected goals
1.081.43
Shots
11.915.2
Possession
44.1%49.2%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: atlético Goianiense's last-five shots average is above their season average. Alongside it: athletic Club's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Atlético Goianiense's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Atlético Goianiense's last-five shots average is above their season average.

20.2 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season15.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots20.2 shots/match15.2 shots/match13.7 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Athletic Club have a visible home split

moderate

Athletic Club's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

14.6 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season11.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots14.6 shots/match11.9 shots/match13.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Atlético Goianiense show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Atlético Goianiense's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11.9 shots/match ▲ShotsAthletic Club · Atlético Goianiense15.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAthletic ClubAtlético GoianienseBaseline
Shots11.9 shots/match15.2 shots/match13.7 shots/match
Shots against15.5 shots/match13.2 shots/match13.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Athletic Club favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Atlético Goianiense in 9 · 4 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Athletic Club32 matchesAtlético Goianiense33 matches
1.19 goals/matchGoals scored32/331.24 goals/match
1.16 goals/matchGoals allowed32/33▲ 0.94 goals/match
1.08 xG/matchExpected goals32/33▲ 1.43 xG/match
11.9 shots/matchShots32/33▲ 15.2 shots/match
3.5 shots/matchShots on target32/33▲ 4.42 shots/match
44.1%Possession32/33● 49.2%
4.25 corners/matchCorners32/33● 6.06 corners/match
14.7 fouls/matchFouls32/3315.4 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Athletic Club
2Draws
1Atlético Goianiense
Atlético Goianiense — Athletic Club · Serie B0–0
Athletic Club — Atlético Goianiense · Serie B1–1
Atlético Goianiense — Athletic Club · Serie B4–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples32 / 33home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness32 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 7 Nov 2026, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

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