PitchMath
Serie B · 2026

Fortaleza vs Atlético Goianiense · Serie B

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.181.24
Expected goals
1.271.43
Shots
14.315.2
Possession
49.5%49.2%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: fortaleza's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Alongside it: fortaleza's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Fortaleza's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Fortaleza's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.18 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.18 goals/match1.18 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Fortaleza have a visible home split

moderate

Fortaleza's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

16.9 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season14.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots16.9 shots/match14.3 shots/match13.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Fortaleza favored in 5 of 13 directional metrics · Atlético Goianiense in 3 · 5 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Fortaleza33 matchesAtlético Goianiense33 matches
1.18 goals/matchGoals scored33/331.24 goals/match
0.88 goals/match ▲Goals allowed33/330.94 goals/match
1.27 xG/matchExpected goals32/33▲ 1.43 xG/match
14.3 shots/matchShots31/33▲ 15.2 shots/match
4.23 shots/matchShots on target31/334.42 shots/match
49.5% ●Possession31/3349.2%
5.39 corners/matchCorners31/33● 6.06 corners/match
14.6 fouls/matchFouls31/3315.4 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Fortaleza
1Draws
2Atlético Goianiense
Atlético Goianiense — Fortaleza · Serie B1–0
Atlético Goianiense — Fortaleza · Serie A3–1
Fortaleza — Atlético Goianiense · Serie A3–1
Fortaleza — Atlético Goianiense · Serie A1–1
Atlético Goianiense — Fortaleza · Serie A0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples33 / 33home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness20 daysfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 31 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFortalezaAtlético Goianiense
CompetitionSerie B
Head-to-headFortaleza — Atlético Goianiense
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required