Athletic Club vs Ceará — Stats & Match Analysis

Serie B · 2026Sat, 31 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC

Athletic Club

WLWDD

vsPre-match analysis

Ceará

WLDWD

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored: 1.21.1
Expected goals: 1.051.1
Shots: 11.113.8
Possession: 43.9%51.4%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: athletic Club's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Alongside it: athletic Club's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Athletic Club's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Athletic Club's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.2 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	2 goals/match	1.2 goals/match	1.18 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Athletic Club have a visible home split

moderate

Athletic Club's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

13.7 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season11.1 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

Metric	Home only	Season	Baseline
Shots	13.7 shots/match	11.1 shots/match	13.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Athletic Club favored in 4 of 13 directional metrics · Ceará in 5 · 4 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Athletic Club30 matchesCeará30 matches

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals scored30/301.1 goals/match

1.1 goals/match ▲Goals allowed30/301.3 goals/match

1.05 xG/matchExpected goals30/291.1 xG/match

11.1 shots/matchShots30/29▲ 13.8 shots/match

3.3 shots/matchShots on target30/29▲ 4.34 shots/match

43.9%Possession30/29● 51.4%

4.1 corners/matchCorners30/29● 5.66 corners/match

15 fouls/matchFouls30/2914.2 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Athletic Club

1Draws

0Ceará

13 Jul 2026Ceará — Athletic Club · Serie B0–0

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited

Season samples30 / 30home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

Freshness35 daysstale at cutoff

At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 31 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match ranking xG per match ranking Shots per match ranking

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Season

What the record shows