Serie B · 2026

Criciúma vs Ponte Preta · Serie B

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.030.57
Expected goals
1.160.94
Shots
14.310.4
Possession
54.1%41%

30-second read

What the record shows

One pattern stands out in the record: criciuma have recorded the higher season possession share. The next-strongest reading is weaker: ponte Preta's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Ponte Preta's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Ponte Preta's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.57 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.2 goals/match0.57 goals/match1.18 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Criciuma show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Criciuma's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

14.3 shots/match ▲ShotsCriciuma · Ponte Preta10.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricCriciumaPonte PretaBaseline
Shots14.3 shots/match10.4 shots/match13.8 shots/match
Shots against11.8 shots/match18.2 shots/match13.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Criciuma have recorded the higher season possession share.

54.1% ●PossessionCriciuma · Ponte Preta41%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 13.2 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricCriciumaPonte PretaBaseline
Possession54.1%41%50.2%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Criciúma favored in 13 of 13 directional metrics · Ponte Preta in 0

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Criciúma30 matchesPonte Preta30 matches
1.03 goals/match ▲Goals scored30/300.57 goals/match
0.9 goals/match ▲Goals allowed30/302.07 goals/match
1.16 xG/match ▲Expected goals30/300.94 xG/match
14.3 shots/match ▲Shots29/3010.4 shots/match
3.93 shots/match ▲Shots on target29/303.13 shots/match
54.1% ●Possession29/3041%
7 corners/match ●Corners29/304.27 corners/match
14.5 fouls/matchFouls29/3016.1 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Criciúma
0Draws
0Ponte Preta
Ponte Preta — Criciúma · Serie B1–2
Criciúma — Ponte Preta · Serie B2–1
Ponte Preta — Criciúma · Serie B1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples30 / 30home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness34 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 31 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

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