Atlético Goianiense
Serie B · 2026Atlético Goianiense vs Novorizontino · Serie B
Season
Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.
- Goals scored
- 1.24–1.79
- Expected goals
- 1.43–1.67
- Shots
- 15.2–16.1
- Possession
- 49.2%–47.6%
30-second read
What the record shows
The story here is recent context rather than season averages: atlético Goianiense's last-five shots average is above their season average. Alongside it: novorizontino's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.
Atlético Goianiense's recent record differs from the season
moderateAtlético Goianiense's last-five shots average is above their season average.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.
Window: last_5 versus season
| Metric | Last 5 | Season | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shots | 20.2 shots/match | 15.2 shots/match | 13.7 shots/match |
Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.
Novorizontino have a visible away split
moderateNovorizontino's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.
Window: away
| Metric | Away only | Season | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shots | 13.1 shots/match | 16.1 shots/match | 13.7 shots/match |
Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.
Both teams have elevated corners records
weakEach team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.
Window: season
| Metric | Atlético Goianiense | Novorizontino | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | 6.06 corners/match | 6.29 corners/match | 5.38 corners/match |
Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.
Metric comparison
Team comparison
Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.
Season: Atlético Goianiense favored in 1 of 13 directional metrics · Novorizontino in 10 · 2 too close
Window
Season
Window
Last 10
Window
Last 5
Window
Home–Away
Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.
Possession control
Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.
Attacking volume
Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.
Defensive resistance
Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.
Directness proxy
Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.
Physicality
Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.
Set-piece relevance
Corner volume relative to competition peers.
Tempo and pressure proxy
Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.
- Matches in previous 14 days · Both teams: 1 match
Atlético Goianiense / Novorizontino
History
Head-to-head
Recent meetings between these teams.
Last 5 meetings
Evidence quality
How much supports this analysis
- Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.
Known unknowns
- Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
- Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
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