Serie B · 2026

América Mineiro vs Cuiabá · Serie B

vsPre-match analysis

Cuiabá

WLWDL

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
0.640.97
Expected goals
1.11.25
Shots
13.313.8
Possession
52.9%49.4%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: américa Mineiro's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Alongside it: cuiabá's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

América Mineiro's recent record differs from the season

moderate

América Mineiro's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.64 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0 goals/match0.64 goals/match1.18 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Cuiabá have a visible away split

moderate

Cuiabá's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.9 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season13.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.9 shots/match13.8 shots/match13.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: América Mineiro favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Cuiabá in 10 · 3 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

América Mineiro33 matchesCuiabá33 matches
0.64 goals/matchGoals scored33/33▲ 0.97 goals/match
1.64 goals/matchGoals allowed33/33▲ 0.76 goals/match
1.1 xG/matchExpected goals33/32▲ 1.25 xG/match
13.3 shots/matchShots33/3213.8 shots/match
4.36 shots/matchShots on target33/324.22 shots/match
52.9% ●Possession33/3249.4%
5.36 corners/matchCorners33/32● 5.53 corners/match
13.9 fouls/matchFouls33/3214.8 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0América Mineiro
2Draws
3Cuiabá
Cuiabá — América Mineiro · Serie B1–0
América Mineiro — Cuiabá · Serie B1–1
Cuiabá — América Mineiro · Serie B3–1
Cuiabá — América Mineiro · Serie A2–2
América Mineiro — Cuiabá · Serie A1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples33 / 33home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness13 daysfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 24 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

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