PitchMath
Serie B · 2026

Londrina vs Cuiabá · Serie B

vsPre-match analysis

Cuiabá

DWLWD

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.251
Expected goals
1.171.23
Shots
14.213.5
Possession
47%48.8%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: londrina's last-five shots average is above their season average. Alongside it: cuiabá's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Londrina's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Londrina's last-five shots average is above their season average.

19.5 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season14.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots19.5 shots/match14.2 shots/match13.7 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Cuiabá have a visible away split

moderate

Cuiabá's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.9 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season13.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.9 shots/match13.5 shots/match13.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Londrina favored in 3 of 13 directional metrics · Cuiabá in 6 · 4 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Londrina32 matchesCuiabá32 matches
1.25 goals/match ▲Goals scored32/321 goal/match
1.47 goals/matchGoals allowed32/32▲ 0.75 goals/match
1.17 xG/matchExpected goals31/311.23 xG/match
14.2 shots/match ▲Shots31/3113.5 shots/match
4.06 shots/matchShots on target31/314.19 shots/match
47%Possession31/31● 48.8%
5.65 corners/match ●Corners31/315.29 corners/match
13.8 fouls/matchFouls31/3115 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Londrina
1Draws
0Cuiabá
Cuiabá — Londrina · Serie B2–2

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples32 / 32home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness10 daysfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 17 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsLondrinaCuiabá
CompetitionSerie B
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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