PitchMath
Serie B · 2026Estadio Alfredo Jaconi

Juventude vs São Bernardo · Serie B

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.071.38
Expected goals
1.041.05
Shots
12.412.4
Possession
50.1%50.1%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: juventude's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Juventude have a visible home split

moderate

Juventude's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

14.5 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season12.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots14.5 shots/match12.4 shots/match13.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Juventude favored in 6 of 13 directional metrics · São Bernardo in 2 · 5 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Juventude28 matchesSão Bernardo29 matches
1.07 goals/matchGoals scored28/29▲ 1.38 goals/match
0.61 goals/match ▲Goals allowed28/291.07 goals/match
1.04 xG/matchExpected goals28/291.05 xG/match
12.4 shots/matchShots28/2812.4 shots/match
4.32 shots/matchShots on target28/284.5 shots/match
50.1%Possession28/28● 50.1%
4.18 corners/matchCorners28/28● 4.96 corners/match
17.1 fouls/matchFouls28/2812.7 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Juventude
0Draws
0São Bernardo
São Bernardo — Juventude · Serie B0–1

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples28 / 29home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness34 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 17 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsJuventudeSão Bernardo
CompetitionSerie B
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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