PitchMath
Serie B · 2026

São Bernardo vs Criciúma · Serie B

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.381
Expected goals
1.051.16
Shots
12.413.7
Possession
50.1%53.2%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: criciúma's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Criciúma's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Criciúma's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1 goal/match1.14 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: São Bernardo favored in 3 of 13 directional metrics · Criciúma in 8 · 2 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

São Bernardo29 matchesCriciúma28 matches
1.38 goals/match ▲Goals scored29/281 goal/match
1.07 goals/matchGoals allowed29/28▲ 0.89 goals/match
1.05 xG/matchExpected goals29/28▲ 1.16 xG/match
12.4 shots/matchShots28/27▲ 13.7 shots/match
4.5 shots/match ▲Shots on target28/273.89 shots/match
50.1%Possession28/27● 53.2%
4.96 corners/matchCorners28/27● 6.7 corners/match
12.7 fouls/matchFouls28/2714.6 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0São Bernardo
0Draws
1Criciúma
Criciúma — São Bernardo · Serie B1–0

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples29 / 28home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness35 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 18 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSão BernardoCriciúma
CompetitionSerie B
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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