PitchMath
Serie B · 2026

São Bernardo vs Criciúma · Serie B

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.381.03
Expected goals
1.061.13
Shots
12.714.3
Possession
49.9%53.9%

30-second read

What the record shows

The retained record does not give either club a clear edge on the metrics that clear the gates. The closest thing to a difference: criciúma's last-five shots average is above their season average. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Criciúma's recent record differs from the season

weak

Criciúma's last-five shots average is above their season average.

16.6 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season14.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots16.6 shots/match14.3 shots/match13.7 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Criciúma show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Criciúma's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

12.7 shots/match ▲ShotsSão Bernardo · Criciúma14.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricSão BernardoCriciúmaBaseline
Shots12.7 shots/match14.3 shots/match13.7 shots/match
Shots against16.1 shots/match12 shots/match13.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: São Bernardo favored in 4 of 13 directional metrics · Criciúma in 9

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

São Bernardo32 matchesCriciúma32 matches
1.38 goals/match ▲Goals scored32/321.03 goals/match
1.06 goals/matchGoals allowed32/32▲ 0.88 goals/match
1.06 xG/matchExpected goals31/32▲ 1.13 xG/match
12.7 shots/matchShots30/31▲ 14.3 shots/match
4.5 shots/match ▲Shots on target30/313.81 shots/match
49.9%Possession30/31● 53.9%
5.1 corners/matchCorners30/31● 6.87 corners/match
12.8 fouls/matchFouls30/3114.7 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0São Bernardo
0Draws
1Criciúma
Criciúma — São Bernardo · Serie B1–0

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples32 / 32home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness12 daysfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 18 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSão BernardoCriciúma
CompetitionSerie B
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required