PitchMath
Serie B · 2026

Avaí vs Athletic Club · Serie B

Avaí

DLLLW
vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
11.19
Expected goals
0.921.08
Shots
11.211.9
Possession
45.7%44.1%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: avaí's last-five shots average is below their season average. Alongside it: athletic Club's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Avaí's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Avaí's last-five shots average is below their season average.

6.75 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season11.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots6.75 shots/match11.2 shots/match13.7 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Athletic Club have a visible away split

moderate

Athletic Club's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.13 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season11.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9.13 shots/match11.9 shots/match13.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Avaí favored in 1 of 13 directional metrics · Athletic Club in 9 · 3 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Avaí32 matchesAthletic Club32 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored32/32▲ 1.19 goals/match
1.34 goals/matchGoals allowed32/32▲ 1.16 goals/match
0.92 xG/matchExpected goals30/32▲ 1.08 xG/match
11.2 shots/matchShots30/32▲ 11.9 shots/match
3.3 shots/matchShots on target30/32▲ 3.5 shots/match
45.7% ●Possession30/3244.1%
3.8 corners/matchCorners30/32● 4.25 corners/match
14.6 fouls/matchFouls30/3214.7 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Avaí
0Draws
2Athletic Club
Athletic Club — Avaí · Serie B1–0
Avaí — Athletic Club · Serie B2–1
Athletic Club — Avaí · Serie B4–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples32 / 32home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness12 daysfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 18 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAvaíAthletic Club
CompetitionSerie B
Head-to-headAvaí — Athletic Club
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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