Serie B · 2026

CRB vs Botafogo-SP · Serie B

CRB

LWWLW
vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.51.11
Expected goals
1.431.14
Shots
18.512.5
Possession
50.8%48.2%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: botafogo-SP's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Alongside it: CRB's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Botafogo-SP's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Botafogo-SP's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.11 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1.11 goals/match1.14 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

CRB show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

CRB's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

18.5 shots/match ▲ShotsCRB · Botafogo-SP12.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricCRBBotafogo-SPBaseline
Shots18.5 shots/match12.5 shots/match13.7 shots/match
Shots against13.2 shots/match13.4 shots/match13.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

CRB have a visible home split

moderate

CRB's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

21.6 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season18.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots21.6 shots/match18.5 shots/match13.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: CRB favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · Botafogo-SP in 3 · 1 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

CRB28 matchesBotafogo-SP28 matches
1.5 goals/match ▲Goals scored28/281.11 goals/match
1.43 goals/matchGoals allowed28/28▲ 1.25 goals/match
1.43 xG/match ▲Expected goals28/271.14 xG/match
18.5 shots/match ▲Shots27/2612.5 shots/match
6 shots/match ▲Shots on target27/263.5 shots/match
50.8% ●Possession27/2648.2%
5.11 corners/matchCorners27/26● 6.35 corners/match
12.4 fouls/matchFouls27/2615.1 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3CRB
1Draws
1Botafogo-SP
Botafogo-SP — CRB · Serie B0–1
CRB — Botafogo-SP · Serie B3–2
Botafogo-SP — CRB · Serie B2–1
Botafogo-SP — CRB · Serie B0–0
CRB — Botafogo-SP · Serie B4–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples28 / 28home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness34 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 18 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

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