PitchMath
Serie B · 2026

CRB vs Botafogo-SP · Serie B

CRB

WLWLW
vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.531.13
Expected goals
1.511.13
Shots
19.312.7
Possession
51.8%48.8%

30-second read

What the record shows

The season records do not separate these clubs, so the strongest stored context is their shared history: 5 meetings, 3 to CRB, 1 drawn, 1 to Botafogo-SP. From this fixture's own record: CRB's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Past meetings are history, not a forecast.

CRB's recent record differs from the season

weak

CRB's last-five shots average is above their season average.

24 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season19.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots24 shots/match19.3 shots/match13.7 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

CRB show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

CRB's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

19.3 shots/match ▲ShotsCRB · Botafogo-SP12.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricCRBBotafogo-SPBaseline
Shots19.3 shots/match12.7 shots/match13.7 shots/match
Shots against13.1 shots/match12.9 shots/match13.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: CRB favored in 9 of 13 directional metrics · Botafogo-SP in 3 · 1 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

CRB32 matchesBotafogo-SP32 matches
1.53 goals/match ▲Goals scored32/321.13 goals/match
1.41 goals/matchGoals allowed32/32▲ 1.19 goals/match
1.51 xG/match ▲Expected goals32/311.13 xG/match
19.3 shots/match ▲Shots31/3012.7 shots/match
6.32 shots/match ▲Shots on target31/303.53 shots/match
51.8% ●Possession31/3048.8%
5.45 corners/matchCorners31/30● 6.37 corners/match
12.2 fouls/matchFouls31/3015.6 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3CRB
1Draws
1Botafogo-SP
Botafogo-SP — CRB · Serie B0–1
CRB — Botafogo-SP · Serie B3–2
Botafogo-SP — CRB · Serie B2–1
Botafogo-SP — CRB · Serie B0–0
CRB — Botafogo-SP · Serie B4–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples32 / 32home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness11 daysfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 18 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCRBBotafogo-SP
CompetitionSerie B
Head-to-headCRB — Botafogo-SP
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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