PitchMath
Serie B · 2026

Botafogo-SP 1–0 Ceará · Serie B

1–0Full-time analysis

Ceará

DWDWW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Botafogo-SP won 1–0.

Shots
1511
Shots on target
43
Expected goals
0.820.5
Possession
52%48%

Full time

What the match recorded

Botafogo-SP beat Ceará 1–0. Recorded in this match (Botafogo-SP – Ceará): shots 15–11, shots on target 4–3, expected goals 0.82–0.5, possession 52%–48%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Botafogo-SP.

5.06 days ▲Rest daysBotafogo-SP · Ceará4.06 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricBotafogo-SPCearáBaseline
Rest days5.06 days4.06 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots11 shotsBotafogo-SP 15 shots, Ceará 11 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots3 shotsBotafogo-SP 4 shots, Ceará 3 shots
  • Expected goals0.82 xG0.5 xGBotafogo-SP 0.82 xG, Ceará 0.5 xG
  • Possession52%48%Botafogo-SP 52%, Ceará 48%
  • Corners8 corners4 cornersBotafogo-SP 8 corners, Ceará 4 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls18 foulsBotafogo-SP 13 fouls, Ceará 18 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card2 cardsBotafogo-SP 1 card, Ceará 2 cards
  • Passes323 passes315 passesBotafogo-SP 323 passes, Ceará 315 passes
  • Pass accuracy75.2%78.1%Botafogo-SP 75.2%, Ceará 78.1%
  • Shots inside box8 shots5 shotsBotafogo-SP 8 shots, Ceará 5 shots
  • Blocked shots5 blocks2 blocksBotafogo-SP 5 blocks, Ceará 2 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves3 saves3 savesBotafogo-SP 3 saves, Ceará 3 saves
  • Offsides1 offside2 offsidesBotafogo-SP 1 offside, Ceará 2 offsides

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Botafogo-SP
1Draws
3Ceará
Ceará — Botafogo-SP · Serie B0–1
Botafogo-SP — Ceará · Serie B1–4
Ceará — Botafogo-SP · Serie B4–1
Botafogo-SP — Ceará · Serie B2–2
Ceará — Botafogo-SP · Serie B3–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Botafogo-SP favored in 4 of 13 directional metrics · Ceará in 4 · 5 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Botafogo-SP33 matchesCeará33 matches
1.12 goals/match ▲Goals scored33/331.06 goals/match
1.15 goals/matchGoals allowed33/331.21 goals/match
1.12 xG/matchExpected goals32/311.07 xG/match
12.7 shots/matchShots31/31▲ 13.7 shots/match
3.55 shots/matchShots on target31/31▲ 4.26 shots/match
48.9%Possession31/31● 51.2%
6.42 corners/match ●Corners31/315.58 corners/match
15.5 fouls/matchFouls31/3114.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples33 / 33home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 13 Oct 2026, 04:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBotafogo-SPCeará
CompetitionSerie B
Head-to-headBotafogo-SP — Ceará
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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