PitchMath
Serie B · 2026

Ceará 1–0 Criciúma · Serie B

Ceará

LDWDW
1–0Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Ceará won 1–0.

Shots
1614
Shots on target
31
Expected goals
0.770.52
Possession
50%50%

Full time

What the match recorded

Ceará beat Criciúma 1–0. Recorded in this match (Ceará – Criciúma): shots 16–14, shots on target 3–1, expected goals 0.77–0.52, possession 50%–50%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Ceará's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Ceará's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.09 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1.09 goals/match1.17 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots14 shotsCeará 16 shots, Criciúma 14 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots1 shotCeará 3 shots, Criciúma 1 shot
  • Expected goals0.77 xG0.52 xGCeará 0.77 xG, Criciúma 0.52 xG
  • Possession50%50%Ceará 50%, Criciúma 50%
  • Corners5 corners6 cornersCeará 5 corners, Criciúma 6 corners
  • Fouls16 fouls17 foulsCeará 16 fouls, Criciúma 17 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card3 cardsCeará 1 card, Criciúma 3 cards
  • Passes437 passes442 passesCeará 437 passes, Criciúma 442 passes
  • Pass accuracy86.7%86.7%Ceará 86.7%, Criciúma 86.7%
  • Shots inside box8 shots2 shotsCeará 8 shots, Criciúma 2 shots
  • Blocked shots4 blocks7 blocksCeará 4 blocks, Criciúma 7 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves1 save2 savesCeará 1 save, Criciúma 2 saves
  • Offsides1 offside0 offsidesCeará 1 offside, Criciúma 0 offsides

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Ceará
1Draws
0Criciúma
Criciúma — Ceará · Serie B1–1
Ceará — Criciúma · Serie B1–0
Criciúma — Ceará · Serie B1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Ceará favored in 3 of 13 directional metrics · Criciúma in 7 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Ceará32 matchesCriciúma32 matches
1.09 goals/match ▲Goals scored32/321.03 goals/match
1.22 goals/matchGoals allowed32/32▲ 0.88 goals/match
1.09 xG/matchExpected goals30/321.13 xG/match
13.8 shots/matchShots30/3114.3 shots/match
4.3 shots/match ▲Shots on target30/313.81 shots/match
51.3%Possession30/31● 53.9%
5.63 corners/matchCorners30/31● 6.87 corners/match
14.3 fouls/matchFouls30/3114.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples32 / 32home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 9 Oct 2026, 02:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCearáCriciúma
CompetitionSerie B
Head-to-headCeará — Criciúma
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required