PitchMath
Serie B · 2026

Ceará vs Criciúma · Serie B

Ceará

LWLDW
vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.071
Expected goals
1.11.16
Shots
13.813.7
Possession
51.4%53.2%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: criciúma's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Criciúma's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Criciúma's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1 goal/match1.14 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Ceará favored in 2 of 13 directional metrics · Criciúma in 8 · 3 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Ceará29 matchesCriciúma28 matches
1.07 goals/match ▲Goals scored29/281 goal/match
1.28 goals/matchGoals allowed29/28▲ 0.89 goals/match
1.1 xG/matchExpected goals29/28▲ 1.16 xG/match
13.8 shots/matchShots29/2713.7 shots/match
4.34 shots/match ▲Shots on target29/273.89 shots/match
51.4%Possession29/27● 53.2%
5.66 corners/matchCorners29/27● 6.7 corners/match
14.2 fouls/matchFouls29/2714.6 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Ceará
1Draws
0Criciúma
Criciúma — Ceará · Serie B1–1
Ceará — Criciúma · Serie B1–0
Criciúma — Ceará · Serie B1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples29 / 28home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness23 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 6 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCearáCriciúma
CompetitionSerie B
Head-to-headCeará — Criciúma
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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