PitchMath
Serie B · 2026

Operário-PR vs Botafogo-SP · Serie B

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.391.11
Expected goals
1.281.14
Shots
14.112.5
Possession
52.2%48.2%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: botafogo-SP's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Botafogo-SP's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Botafogo-SP's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.11 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1.11 goals/match1.14 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Operário-PR favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · Botafogo-SP in 3 · 1 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Operário-PR28 matchesBotafogo-SP28 matches
1.39 goals/match ▲Goals scored28/281.11 goals/match
1.29 goals/matchGoals allowed28/281.25 goals/match
1.28 xG/match ▲Expected goals28/271.14 xG/match
14.1 shots/match ▲Shots28/2612.5 shots/match
4.36 shots/match ▲Shots on target28/263.5 shots/match
52.2% ●Possession28/2648.2%
4.75 corners/matchCorners28/26● 6.35 corners/match
14.6 fouls/matchFouls28/2615.1 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Operário-PR
2Draws
2Botafogo-SP
Botafogo-SP — Operário-PR · Serie B2–1
Botafogo-SP — Operário-PR · Serie B1–1
Operário-PR — Botafogo-SP · Serie B3–0
Botafogo-SP — Operário-PR · Serie B0–0
Operário-PR — Botafogo-SP · Serie B0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples28 / 28home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness23 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 7 Oct 2026, 22:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsOperário-PRBotafogo-SP
CompetitionSerie B
Head-to-headOperário-PR — Botafogo-SP
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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