PitchMath
Serie B · 2026

Operário-PR 1–2 Botafogo-SP · Serie B

1–2Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Botafogo-SP won 1–2.

Shots
1114
Shots on target
36
Expected goals
0.560.68
Possession
55%45%

Full time

What the match recorded

Botafogo-SP beat Operário-PR 2–1. Recorded in this match (Operário-PR – Botafogo-SP): shots 11–14, shots on target 3–6, expected goals 0.56–0.68, possession 55%–45%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Operário-PR's recent record differs from the season

weak

Operário-PR's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.38 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.38 goals/match1.17 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots14 shotsOperário-PR 11 shots, Botafogo-SP 14 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots6 shotsOperário-PR 3 shots, Botafogo-SP 6 shots
  • Expected goals0.56 xG0.68 xGOperário-PR 0.56 xG, Botafogo-SP 0.68 xG
  • Possession55%45%Operário-PR 55%, Botafogo-SP 45%
  • Corners7 corners4 cornersOperário-PR 7 corners, Botafogo-SP 4 corners
  • Fouls18 fouls18 foulsOperário-PR 18 fouls, Botafogo-SP 18 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards3 cardsOperário-PR 3 cards, Botafogo-SP 3 cards
  • Passes412 passes342 passesOperário-PR 412 passes, Botafogo-SP 342 passes
  • Pass accuracy81.3%78.4%Operário-PR 81.3%, Botafogo-SP 78.4%
  • Shots inside box9 shots5 shotsOperário-PR 9 shots, Botafogo-SP 5 shots
  • Blocked shots1 block1 blockOperário-PR 1 block, Botafogo-SP 1 block
  • Goalkeeper saves4 saves2 savesOperário-PR 4 saves, Botafogo-SP 2 saves
  • Offsides1 offside2 offsidesOperário-PR 1 offside, Botafogo-SP 2 offsides

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Operário-PR
2Draws
2Botafogo-SP
Botafogo-SP — Operário-PR · Serie B2–1
Botafogo-SP — Operário-PR · Serie B1–1
Operário-PR — Botafogo-SP · Serie B3–0
Botafogo-SP — Operário-PR · Serie B0–0
Operário-PR — Botafogo-SP · Serie B0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Operário-PR favored in 7 of 13 directional metrics · Botafogo-SP in 5 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Operário-PR32 matchesBotafogo-SP32 matches
1.38 goals/match ▲Goals scored32/321.13 goals/match
1.34 goals/matchGoals allowed32/32▲ 1.19 goals/match
1.24 xG/match ▲Expected goals31/311.13 xG/match
13.9 shots/match ▲Shots31/3012.7 shots/match
4.23 shots/match ▲Shots on target31/303.53 shots/match
51.6% ●Possession31/3048.8%
4.74 corners/matchCorners31/30● 6.37 corners/match
14.7 fouls/matchFouls31/3015.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples32 / 32home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 8 Oct 2026, 02:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsOperário-PRBotafogo-SP
CompetitionSerie B
Head-to-headOperário-PR — Botafogo-SP
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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