PitchMath
Serie B · 2026

Avaí 2–1 Londrina · Serie B

Avaí

LDLLL
2–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Avaí won 2–1.

Shots
1119
Shots on target
44
Expected goals
0.880.63
Possession
40%60%

Full time

What the match recorded

Avaí beat Londrina 2–1. Recorded in this match (Avaí – Londrina): shots 11–19, shots on target 4–4, expected goals 0.88–0.63, possession 40%–60%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Avaí's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Avaí's last-five shots average is below their season average.

6.75 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season11.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots6.75 shots/match11.2 shots/match13.6 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Avaí have a visible home split

moderate

Avaí's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

13.5 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season11.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots13.5 shots/match11.2 shots/match13.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots19 shotsAvaí 11 shots, Londrina 19 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots4 shotsAvaí 4 shots, Londrina 4 shots
  • Expected goals0.88 xG0.63 xGAvaí 0.88 xG, Londrina 0.63 xG
  • Possession40%60%Avaí 40%, Londrina 60%
  • Corners4 corners9 cornersAvaí 4 corners, Londrina 9 corners
  • Fouls16 fouls13 foulsAvaí 16 fouls, Londrina 13 fouls
  • Yellow cards5 cards1 cardAvaí 5 cards, Londrina 1 card
  • Passes380 passes557 passesAvaí 380 passes, Londrina 557 passes
  • Pass accuracy82.1%89.2%Avaí 82.1%, Londrina 89.2%
  • Shots inside box6 shots9 shotsAvaí 6 shots, Londrina 9 shots
  • Blocked shots5 blocks8 blocksAvaí 5 blocks, Londrina 8 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves3 saves2 savesAvaí 3 saves, Londrina 2 saves
  • Offsides0 offsides1 offsideAvaí 0 offsides, Londrina 1 offside

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Avaí
2Draws
1Londrina
Londrina — Avaí · Serie B3–2
Londrina — Avaí · Serie B1–1
Avaí — Londrina · Serie B0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Avaí favored in 2 of 13 directional metrics · Londrina in 7 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Avaí32 matchesLondrina32 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored32/32▲ 1.25 goals/match
1.34 goals/match ▲Goals allowed32/321.47 goals/match
0.92 xG/matchExpected goals30/31▲ 1.17 xG/match
11.2 shots/matchShots30/31▲ 14.2 shots/match
3.3 shots/matchShots on target30/31▲ 4.06 shots/match
45.7%Possession30/31● 47%
3.8 corners/matchCorners30/31● 5.65 corners/match
14.6 fouls/matchFouls30/3113.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples32 / 32home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 8 Oct 2026, 02:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAvaíLondrina
CompetitionSerie B
Head-to-headAvaí — Londrina
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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