PitchMath
Serie B · 2026

Londrina vs Criciúma · Serie B

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.361
Expected goals
1.21.16
Shots
13.813.7
Possession
46.5%53.2%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: londrina's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Londrina's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Londrina's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.36 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1.36 goals/match1.14 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Londrina favored in 1 of 13 directional metrics · Criciúma in 7 · 5 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Londrina28 matchesCriciúma28 matches
1.36 goals/match ▲Goals scored28/281 goal/match
1.39 goals/matchGoals allowed28/28▲ 0.89 goals/match
1.2 xG/matchExpected goals28/281.16 xG/match
13.8 shots/matchShots28/2713.7 shots/match
4.07 shots/matchShots on target28/273.89 shots/match
46.5%Possession28/27● 53.2%
5.46 corners/matchCorners28/27● 6.7 corners/match
13.8 fouls/matchFouls28/2714.6 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Londrina
1Draws
2Criciúma
Criciúma — Londrina · Serie B1–0
Criciúma — Londrina · Serie B2–0
Londrina — Criciúma · Serie B1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples28 / 28home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness19 daysfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 2 Oct 2026, 23:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsLondrinaCriciúma
CompetitionSerie B
Head-to-headLondrina — Criciúma
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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